At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
201.6
▲ L5 204.8
Pass TD/g
1.09
▲ L5 1.60
Comp/g
19.4
▲ L5 20.0
Att/g
31.2
▲ L5 33.0
INT/g
0.64
▼ L5 0.20
Rush yds/g
1.0
▼ L5 0.4
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 64% | 60% | 67% | 60% |
| 224.5 | 55% | 60% | 50% | 60% |
| 249.5 | 18% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| 274.5 | 9% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 299.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 64% | 60% | 67% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 60% | 33% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 20% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 20% | 17% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 64% | 80% | 67% | 60% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 80% | 67% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 36% | 20% | 17% | 60% |
| 23.5 | 27% | 20% | 0% | 60% |
| 25.5 | 9% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 45% | 20% | 33% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
11.4
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
212.2
6 g
Away
189.0
5 g
In wins
183.2
5 g
In losses
217.0
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | @ LAC | L 17-24 | -7 | 49 | 24 | 39 | 238 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 255 | -11.8 |
| 7 | @ CHI | L 12-30 | +2.5 | 38.5 | 10 | 13 | 75 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 99 | 4.0 |
| 9 | vs NYG | W 30-6 | +1 | 38.5 | 16 | 25 | 209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 7.6 |
| 10 | vs NYJ | W 16-12 | -1 | 35.5 | 16 | 27 | 153 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 197 | -9.8 |
| 11 | @ MIA | L 13-20 | -14 | 44.5 | 24 | 41 | 271 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 400 | -9.6 |
| 12 | vs KC | L 17-31 | -9 | 42.5 | 23 | 33 | 248 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 159 | 4.3 |
| 14 | vs MIN | L 0-3 | -3 | 40.5 | 21 | 32 | 171 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 144 | -19.2 |
| 15 | vs LAC | W 63-21 | +3 | 36 | 20 | 34 | 248 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 291 | 10.6 |
| 16 | @ KC | W 20-14 | -11 | 40.5 | 9 | 21 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 157 | -13.0 |
| 17 | @ IND | L 20-23 | -3.5 | 42.5 | 30 | 47 | 299 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 429 | 8.5 |
| 18 | vs DEN | W 27-14 | +3.5 | 37.5 | 20 | 31 | 244 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 227 | 11.4 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).