At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
248.9
▲ L5 250.8
Pass TD/g
1.79
▲ L5 2.00
Comp/g
21.7
▼ L5 20.8
Att/g
33.8
▼ L5 31.4
INT/g
0.63
▼ L5 0.40
Rush yds/g
10.2
▼ L5 2.4
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 74% | 60% | 89% | 60% |
| 224.5 | 63% | 60% | 67% | 60% |
| 249.5 | 47% | 60% | 67% | 30% |
| 274.5 | 42% | 60% | 67% | 20% |
| 299.5 | 26% | 40% | 33% | 20% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 80% | 89% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 80% | 44% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 20% | 11% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 84% | 80% | 78% | 90% |
| 19.5 | 74% | 80% | 56% | 90% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 60% | 56% | 50% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 20% | 33% | 40% |
| 25.5 | 26% | 20% | 33% | 20% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 53% | 20% | 67% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 20% | 11% | 10% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
-8.0
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
261.4
9 g
Away
237.7
10 g
In wins
249.8
10 g
In losses
248.0
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PHI | W 32-9 | -2.5 | 43 | 22 | 36 | 337 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 321 | 11.5 |
| 20* | @ DET | L 23-31 | -6 | 49.5 | 26 | 41 | 349 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 328 | 4.8 |
| 1 | @ MIN | W 20-17 | -4 | 45 | 21 | 34 | 173 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 0.9 |
| 2 | vs CHI | W 27-17 | +2.5 | 41 | 26 | 34 | 317 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 252 | 13.3 |
| 3 | vs PHI | L 11-25 | -6 | 44 | 15 | 25 | 146 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 264 | 0.6 |
| 4 | @ NO | W 26-9 | -4 | 41 | 25 | 32 | 246 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 8.8 |
| 6 | vs DET | L 6-20 | -3 | 43.5 | 19 | 37 | 206 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 443 | -8.3 |
| 7 | vs ATL | L 13-16 | +3 | 37.5 | 27 | 42 | 275 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 318 | 0.6 |
| 8 | @ BUF | L 18-24 | -10 | 43 | 25 | 42 | 237 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 306 | -1.1 |
| 9 | @ HOU | L 37-39 | -2.5 | 39.5 | 21 | 30 | 265 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 264 | 10.6 |
| 10 | vs TEN | W 20-6 | +2.5 | 39.5 | 18 | 29 | 278 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 349 | 7.9 |
| 11 | @ SF | L 14-27 | -13.5 | 41.5 | 29 | 45 | 246 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 407 | -9.2 |
| 12 | @ IND | L 20-27 | -2.5 | 45 | 20 | 30 | 199 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 203 | -7.5 |
| 13 | vs CAR | W 21-18 | +4 | 37 | 14 | 29 | 202 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 314 | -3.7 |
| 14 | @ ATL | W 29-25 | -1.5 | 41.5 | 14 | 29 | 144 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 283 | 2.4 |
| 15 | @ GB | W 34-20 | -4 | 41.5 | 22 | 28 | 381 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 253 | 23.5 |
| 16 | vs JAX | W 30-12 | -2 | 43 | 26 | 35 | 283 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 229 | 12.9 |
| 17 | vs NO | L 13-23 | +2.5 | 42.5 | 22 | 33 | 309 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 286 | 7.0 |
| 18 | @ CAR | W 9-0 | +5 | 36.5 | 20 | 32 | 137 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 250 | -8.0 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).