At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
40.7
▲ L5 47.4
Rec/g
3.0
▲ L5 3.4
Tgt/g
4.5
▲ L5 5.0
Rec TD/g
0.33
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 50% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 33% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| 59.5 | 33% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| 69.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| 79.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| 89.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 50% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 33% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
22%
Air-yards share
28%
Rec EPA/game
2.4
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
34.5
2 g
Away
43.8
4 g
In wins
54.5
4 g
In losses
13.0
2 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ DAL | W 48-32 | -7 | 52.5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 10% |
| 20* | @ SF | L 21-24 | -10.5 | 50.5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 3% |
| 15 | vs TB | L 20-34 | +4 | 41.5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 6% |
| 16 | @ CAR | W 33-30 | +3.5 | 39.5 | 6 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 73 | 8 | 23% |
| 17 | @ MIN | W 33-10 | -1 | 42.5 | 9 | 6 | 105 | 1 | 112 | 11 | 26% |
| 18 | vs CHI | W 17-9 | +2.5 | 45.5 | 7 | 5 | 62 | 0 | 61 | 15 | 22% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).