At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
41.4
▼ L5 32.0
Rec/g
3.5
▼ L5 3.4
Tgt/g
5.2
▲ L5 5.8
Rec TD/g
0.47
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 41% | 20% | 75% | 11% |
| 49.5 | 18% | 20% | 38% | 0% |
| 59.5 | 18% | 20% | 38% | 0% |
| 69.5 | 12% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 79.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 59% | 40% | 88% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 40% | 75% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 24% | 40% | 38% | 11% |
| 5.5 | 18% | 20% | 25% | 11% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 47% | 80% | 63% | 33% |
| 6.5 | 29% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
| 8.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
20%
Air-yards share
37%
Rec EPA/game
3.7
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
63.8
8 g
Away
21.6
9 g
In wins
54.7
11 g
In losses
17.0
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs GB | L 32-48 | +7 | 52.5 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 0 | 93 | 1 | 14% |
| 1 | @ NYG | W 40-0 | +3.5 | 44.5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 16% |
| 3 | @ ARI | L 16-28 | +11.5 | 43.5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 52 | 3 | 19% |
| 4 | vs NE | W 38-3 | +6.5 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 11% |
| 5 | @ SF | L 10-42 | -3.5 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 122 | 0 | 15% |
| 6 | @ LAC | W 20-17 | +1.5 | 49.5 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 13% |
| 8 | vs LA | W 43-20 | +6.5 | 44.5 | 4 | 3 | 49 | 1 | 60 | 5 | 12% |
| 9 | @ PHI | L 23-28 | -3.5 | 46.5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 5% |
| 10 | vs NYG | W 49-17 | +17.5 | 38.5 | 10 | 9 | 173 | 1 | 133 | 61 | 23% |
| 11 | @ CAR | W 33-10 | +11 | 43 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 41 | 12 | 10% |
| 12 | vs WAS | W 45-10 | +13 | 48 | 5 | 4 | 72 | 1 | 77 | 5 | 16% |
| 13 | vs SEA | W 41-35 | +9.5 | 47.5 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 1 | 42 | 3 | 10% |
| 14 | vs PHI | W 33-13 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 73 | 10 | 13% |
| 15 | @ BUF | L 10-31 | -2 | 49.5 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 92 | 7 | 19% |
| 16 | @ MIA | L 20-22 | -1.5 | 48.5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 6% |
| 17 | vs DET | W 20-19 | +5.5 | 53 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 1 | 171 | 2 | 22% |
| 18 | @ WAS | W 38-10 | +13 | 47.5 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 1 | 79 | 1 | 20% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).