At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
33.8
▼ L5 21.4
Rec/g
3.3
▼ L5 1.8
Tgt/g
4.8
▼ L5 3.4
Rec TD/g
0.28
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 44% | 20% | 38% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 17% | 0% | 13% | 20% |
| 59.5 | 17% | 0% | 13% | 20% |
| 69.5 | 11% | 0% | 13% | 10% |
| 79.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 38% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 0% | 38% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 28% | 0% | 38% | 20% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 0% | 25% | 10% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 50% | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 0% | 13% | 20% |
| 8.5 | 11% | 0% | 13% | 10% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
10%
Air-yards share
4%
Rec EPA/game
2.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
28.9
8 g
Away
37.8
10 g
In wins
29.9
9 g
In losses
37.8
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PHI | W 32-9 | -2.5 | 43 | 11 | 8 | 89 | 0 | 60 | 51 | 31% |
| 20* | @ DET | L 23-31 | -6 | 49.5 | 8 | 5 | 65 | 1 | 61 | 28 | 21% |
| 1 | @ MIN | W 20-17 | -4 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 17 | 13 | 9% |
| 2 | vs CHI | W 27-17 | +2.5 | 41 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 24 | 17 | 19% |
| 3 | vs PHI | L 11-25 | -6 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 8% |
| 4 | @ NO | W 26-9 | -4 | 41 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 13% |
| 6 | vs DET | L 6-20 | -3 | 43.5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 35 | 9 | 5% |
| 7 | vs ATL | L 13-16 | +3 | 37.5 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 42 | 16 | 15% |
| 8 | @ BUF | L 18-24 | -10 | 43 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 24 | 12 | 15% |
| 9 | @ HOU | L 37-39 | -2.5 | 39.5 | 9 | 6 | 70 | 2 | 73 | 33 | 30% |
| 10 | vs TEN | W 20-6 | +2.5 | 39.5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 10% |
| 11 | @ SF | L 14-27 | -13.5 | 41.5 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 35 | 23 | 12% |
| 12 | @ IND | L 20-27 | -2.5 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 13% |
| 14 | @ ATL | W 29-25 | -1.5 | 41.5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 56 | 2 | 17% |
| 15 | @ GB | W 34-20 | -4 | 41.5 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 29 | 15 | 7% |
| 16 | vs JAX | W 30-12 | -2 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3% |
| 17 | vs NO | L 13-23 | +2.5 | 42.5 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 49 | 3 | 18% |
| 18 | @ CAR | W 9-0 | +5 | 36.5 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 10% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).