At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
59.8
▲ L5 65.4
Rec/g
4.5
▲ L5 5.0
Tgt/g
8.0
▲ L5 10.4
Rec TD/g
0.47
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 53% | 60% | 22% | 88% |
| 49.5 | 47% | 60% | 11% | 88% |
| 59.5 | 41% | 40% | 11% | 75% |
| 69.5 | 41% | 40% | 11% | 75% |
| 79.5 | 41% | 40% | 11% | 75% |
| 89.5 | 29% | 40% | 11% | 50% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 100% | 67% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 100% | 56% | 88% |
| 4.5 | 47% | 60% | 22% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 35% | 40% | 11% | 63% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 0% | 11% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 82% | 100% | 78% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 76% | 100% | 78% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 41% | 80% | 22% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 18% | 40% | 11% | 25% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
24%
Air-yards share
52%
Rec EPA/game
6.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
40.8
9 g
Away
81.1
8 g
In wins
67.8
9 g
In losses
50.8
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ IND | W 31-21 | +4 | 45.5 | 11 | 8 | 101 | 1 | 100 | 36 | 34% |
| 2 | vs KC | L 9-17 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 8 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 64 | 3 | 20% |
| 3 | vs HOU | L 17-37 | +7.5 | 43.5 | 7 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 108 | 5 | 18% |
| 4 | vs ATL | W 23-7 | +3.5 | 42.5 | 2 | 2 | 38 | 1 | 37 | 1 | 7% |
| 5 | @ BUF | W 25-20 | -5.5 | 48.5 | 8 | 7 | 122 | 0 | 124 | 10 | 22% |
| 6 | vs IND | W 37-20 | +4 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 100 | 2 | 29% |
| 7 | @ NO | W 31-24 | -2.5 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 7 | 13% |
| 8 | @ PIT | W 20-10 | +2.5 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 83 | 0 | 129 | 12 | 31% |
| 10 | vs SF | L 3-34 | -3 | 44.5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 10% |
| 11 | vs TEN | W 34-14 | +6.5 | 40 | 9 | 7 | 103 | 2 | 110 | 15 | 29% |
| 12 | @ HOU | W 24-21 | +1 | 48 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 1 | 89 | 30 | 16% |
| 13 | vs CIN | L 31-34 | +10 | 41 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 156 | 1 | 21% |
| 14 | @ CLE | L 27-31 | -2.5 | 37.5 | 13 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 166 | 20 | 27% |
| 15 | vs BAL | L 7-23 | -4 | 42.5 | 12 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 164 | 1 | 29% |
| 16 | @ TB | L 12-30 | +2 | 43 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 2 | 111 | 14 | 20% |
| 17 | vs CAR | W 26-0 | +3.5 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 55 | 8 | 35% |
| 18 | @ TEN | L 20-28 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 10 | 6 | 106 | 1 | 156 | 27 | 24% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).