At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
209.6
▼ L5 154.6
Pass TD/g
1.59
▼ L5 1.20
Comp/g
18.9
▼ L5 14.4
Att/g
30.4
▼ L5 23.6
INT/g
0.41
▼ L5 0.40
Rush yds/g
12.6
▼ L5 11.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 53% | 20% | 67% | 38% |
| 224.5 | 47% | 20% | 56% | 38% |
| 249.5 | 24% | 0% | 33% | 13% |
| 274.5 | 12% | 0% | 11% | 13% |
| 299.5 | 12% | 0% | 11% | 13% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 100% | 89% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 20% | 56% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 59% | 20% | 67% | 50% |
| 19.5 | 47% | 0% | 67% | 25% |
| 21.5 | 41% | 0% | 56% | 25% |
| 23.5 | 29% | 0% | 33% | 25% |
| 25.5 | 12% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 29% | 40% | 44% | 13% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
-12.0
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
212.8
9 g
Away
206.0
8 g
In wins
177.7
9 g
In losses
245.5
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs SEA | L 16-28 | -3 | 49 | 25 | 38 | 251 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 208 | 0.3 |
| 2 | vs LA | L 24-27 | -4 | 48 | 20 | 31 | 247 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 231 | -2.3 |
| 3 | @ TEN | L 16-25 | -4.5 | 47 | 19 | 37 | 194 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 198 | -8.6 |
| 4 | @ MIA | W 27-17 | -2.5 | 41.5 | 24 | 32 | 228 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 282 | 9.9 |
| 5 | @ BAL | L 25-31 | -7.5 | 46.5 | 25 | 35 | 402 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 204 | 17.5 |
| 6 | vs HOU | W 31-3 | +10.5 | 43.5 | 11 | 20 | 223 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 244 | 6.7 |
| 7 | @ SF | W 30-18 | -3.5 | 41.5 | 17 | 26 | 150 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 191 | -3.2 |
| 8 | vs TEN | L 31-34 | +3 | 51 | 27 | 51 | 231 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 506 | -13.0 |
| 9 | vs NYJ | W 45-30 | +10.5 | 46 | 22 | 30 | 272 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 15.9 |
| 10 | vs JAX | W 23-17 | +10.5 | 47.5 | 22 | 34 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 166 | -3.2 |
| 11 | @ BUF | W 41-15 | -7.5 | 49.5 | 11 | 20 | 106 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 5.5 |
| 12 | vs TB | L 31-38 | -3 | 53 | 27 | 44 | 306 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 408 | 1.0 |
| 13 | @ HOU | W 31-0 | +10 | 45.5 | 16 | 22 | 158 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 2.6 |
| 15 | vs NE | W 27-17 | -1 | 46 | 5 | 12 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 112 | -7.9 |
| 16 | @ ARI | W 22-16 | -3 | 48 | 18 | 28 | 225 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 190 | 9.0 |
| 17 | vs LV | L 20-23 | +8.5 | 46.5 | 16 | 27 | 148 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 158 | -5.4 |
| 18 | @ JAX | L 11-26 | +14 | 43 | 17 | 29 | 185 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 299 | -12.0 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).