At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
58.4
▲ L5 83.6
Rec/g
4.8
▲ L5 6.0
Tgt/g
7.5
▲ L5 9.0
Rec TD/g
0.16
▲ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 79% | 100% | 78% | 80% |
| 49.5 | 63% | 100% | 67% | 60% |
| 59.5 | 32% | 60% | 44% | 20% |
| 69.5 | 26% | 60% | 33% | 20% |
| 79.5 | 16% | 40% | 11% | 20% |
| 89.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 89% | 100% | 89% | 90% |
| 3.5 | 74% | 80% | 67% | 80% |
| 4.5 | 58% | 80% | 44% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 37% | 60% | 33% | 40% |
| 6.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 7.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 95% | 100% | 89% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 63% | 80% | 44% | 80% |
| 8.5 | 26% | 60% | 22% | 30% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 40% | 11% | 30% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
23%
Air-yards share
15%
Rec EPA/game
1.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
54.6
9 g
Away
61.8
10 g
In wins
65.9
10 g
In losses
50.0
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PHI | W 32-9 | -2.5 | 43 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 1 | 68 | 14 | 14% |
| 20* | @ DET | L 23-31 | -6 | 49.5 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 62 | 16 | 21% |
| 1 | @ MIN | W 20-17 | -4 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 36 | 12 | 19% |
| 2 | vs CHI | W 27-17 | +2.5 | 41 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 83 | 14 | 25% |
| 3 | vs PHI | L 11-25 | -6 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 48 | 14 | 20% |
| 4 | @ NO | W 26-9 | -4 | 41 | 11 | 8 | 114 | 0 | 92 | 66 | 37% |
| 6 | vs DET | L 6-20 | -3 | 43.5 | 7 | 6 | 77 | 0 | 90 | 15 | 19% |
| 7 | vs ATL | L 13-16 | +3 | 37.5 | 12 | 6 | 66 | 0 | 97 | 38 | 29% |
| 8 | @ BUF | L 18-24 | -10 | 43 | 7 | 5 | 54 | 1 | 52 | 17 | 18% |
| 9 | @ HOU | L 37-39 | -2.5 | 39.5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 48 | 14 | 20% |
| 10 | vs TEN | W 20-6 | +2.5 | 39.5 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 21% |
| 11 | @ SF | L 14-27 | -13.5 | 41.5 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 16% |
| 12 | @ IND | L 20-27 | -2.5 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 41 | 25 | 23% |
| 13 | vs CAR | W 21-18 | +4 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 11% |
| 14 | @ ATL | W 29-25 | -1.5 | 41.5 | 11 | 5 | 53 | 0 | 142 | 32 | 38% |
| 15 | @ GB | W 34-20 | -4 | 41.5 | 12 | 10 | 155 | 0 | 104 | 72 | 44% |
| 16 | vs JAX | W 30-12 | -2 | 43 | 10 | 6 | 78 | 0 | 96 | 8 | 29% |
| 17 | vs NO | L 13-23 | +2.5 | 42.5 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 1 | 67 | 23 | 15% |
| 18 | @ CAR | W 9-0 | +5 | 36.5 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 35 | 24 | 23% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).