At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
70.2
▲ L5 70.4
Rec/g
5.4
▼ L5 4.8
Tgt/g
8.6
▼ L5 7.0
Rec TD/g
0.31
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 75% | 60% | 71% | 78% |
| 49.5 | 63% | 60% | 57% | 67% |
| 59.5 | 50% | 40% | 29% | 67% |
| 69.5 | 50% | 40% | 29% | 67% |
| 79.5 | 50% | 40% | 29% | 67% |
| 89.5 | 44% | 40% | 29% | 56% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 88% | 100% | 86% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 75% | 60% | 71% | 78% |
| 4.5 | 69% | 40% | 57% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 56% | 20% | 43% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 38% | 20% | 29% | 44% |
| 7.5 | 19% | 20% | 14% | 22% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 94% | 80% | 86% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 69% | 40% | 57% | 78% |
| 8.5 | 56% | 20% | 29% | 78% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 20% | 14% | 33% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
12%
Air-yards share
24%
Rec EPA/game
6.7
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
60.3
7 g
Away
77.9
9 g
In wins
51.5
8 g
In losses
88.9
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs TEN | W 16-15 | +3 | 41 | 10 | 8 | 112 | 0 | 129 | 64 | 30% |
| 2 | @ CAR | W 20-17 | +3 | 39.5 | 11 | 6 | 86 | 0 | 135 | 14 | 32% |
| 3 | @ GB | L 17-18 | +1.5 | 41.5 | 11 | 8 | 104 | 0 | 108 | 32 | 32% |
| 4 | vs TB | L 9-26 | +4 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 146 | 7 | 16% |
| 5 | @ NE | W 34-0 | -2.5 | 38.5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 87 | 1 | 20% |
| 6 | @ HOU | L 13-20 | +2 | 42.5 | 10 | 7 | 96 | 0 | 157 | 27 | 22% |
| 7 | vs JAX | L 24-31 | +2.5 | 41 | 15 | 7 | 57 | 0 | 118 | 25 | 28% |
| 8 | @ IND | W 38-27 | +2 | 43.5 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 170 | 11 | 31% |
| 9 | vs CHI | W 24-17 | +9 | 42 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 1 | 64 | 9 | 25% |
| 10 | @ MIN | L 19-27 | +3 | 41 | 9 | 6 | 94 | 1 | 182 | 18 | 23% |
| 12 | @ ATL | L 15-24 | +2 | 42 | 9 | 7 | 114 | 0 | 121 | 41 | 24% |
| 13 | vs DET | L 28-33 | -4 | 47.5 | 8 | 5 | 119 | 0 | 146 | 36 | 28% |
| 14 | vs CAR | W 28-6 | +5.5 | 39 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 1 | 63 | 14 | 23% |
| 16 | @ LA | L 22-30 | -4 | 45.5 | 13 | 9 | 123 | 0 | 123 | 32 | 33% |
| 17 | @ TB | W 23-13 | -2.5 | 42.5 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 38 | 7 | 18% |
| 18 | vs ATL | W 48-17 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 1 | 47 | 9 | 12% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).