At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
68.0
▼ L5 67.4
Rec/g
5.1
▼ L5 4.8
Tgt/g
8.5
▼ L5 8.0
Rec TD/g
0.47
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 76% | 80% | 63% | 89% |
| 49.5 | 76% | 80% | 63% | 89% |
| 59.5 | 59% | 40% | 50% | 67% |
| 69.5 | 47% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| 79.5 | 29% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
| 89.5 | 29% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 88% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 76% | 80% | 63% | 89% |
| 4.5 | 65% | 80% | 50% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 41% | 20% | 38% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 29% | 0% | 25% | 33% |
| 7.5 | 12% | 0% | 13% | 11% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 94% | 100% | 88% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 76% | 80% | 63% | 89% |
| 8.5 | 65% | 60% | 38% | 89% |
| 10.5 | 18% | 0% | 13% | 22% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
24%
Air-yards share
71%
Rec EPA/game
5.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
65.1
8 g
Away
70.6
9 g
In wins
74.1
9 g
In losses
61.1
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ BUF | L 7-31 | -7.5 | 48.5 | 9 | 5 | 75 | 0 | 157 | 12 | 39% |
| 1 | @ SEA | L 20-26 | -6.5 | 42 | 12 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 163 | 6 | 29% |
| 2 | vs PIT | L 6-13 | -3 | 36.5 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 45 | 7 | 12% |
| 3 | @ TB | W 26-7 | -6 | 40.5 | 11 | 7 | 68 | 0 | 113 | 3 | 32% |
| 4 | @ NYJ | W 10-9 | -7.5 | 39.5 | 9 | 3 | 60 | 1 | 157 | 13 | 36% |
| 5 | vs LV | W 34-18 | +3 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 71 | 5 | 19% |
| 6 | vs LAC | L 16-23 | -3 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 53 | 1 | 84 | 7 | 19% |
| 8 | vs CAR | W 28-14 | +13 | 40.5 | 11 | 8 | 100 | 0 | 154 | 31 | 29% |
| 9 | @ BAL | L 10-41 | -9 | 46.5 | 10 | 7 | 122 | 0 | 132 | 34 | 30% |
| 10 | @ KC | L 14-16 | -7.5 | 42.5 | 9 | 6 | 70 | 1 | 101 | 5 | 32% |
| 11 | vs ATL | W 38-6 | +2 | 44.5 | 8 | 7 | 78 | 0 | 78 | 16 | 25% |
| 12 | @ LV | W 29-19 | +6.5 | 41.5 | 10 | 8 | 97 | 2 | 104 | 5 | 26% |
| 13 | vs CLE | W 41-32 | +6.5 | 41.5 | 9 | 6 | 102 | 0 | 181 | 18 | 29% |
| 15 | vs IND | W 31-13 | +4.5 | 43.5 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 133 | 0 | 28% |
| 16 | @ LAC | L 27-34 | -3 | 41.5 | 6 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 45 | 12 | 15% |
| 17 | @ CIN | L 24-30 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 9 | 5 | 55 | 1 | 110 | 9 | 29% |
| 18 | vs KC | W 38-0 | +10.5 | 40.5 | 7 | 5 | 98 | 1 | 116 | 8 | 24% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).