At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
48.3
▼ L5 42.4
Rec/g
3.7
▼ L5 2.2
Tgt/g
5.6
▼ L5 4.4
Rec TD/g
0.63
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 63% | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| 49.5 | 56% | 60% | 50% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 50% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 25% | 40% | 13% | 38% |
| 79.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 89.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 69% | 40% | 63% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 20% | 50% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 31% | 20% | 25% | 38% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 0% | 13% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 69% | 40% | 63% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 25% | 20% | 13% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 10.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
13%
Air-yards share
14%
Rec EPA/game
-2.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
42.9
8 g
Away
53.6
8 g
In wins
53.4
7 g
In losses
44.2
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs LV | L 16-17 | +3 | 43 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 1 | 38 | 4 | 16% |
| 2 | vs WAS | L 33-35 | +4 | 38.5 | 7 | 5 | 66 | 0 | 72 | 13 | 26% |
| 3 | @ MIA | L 20-70 | -6 | 47.5 | 11 | 8 | 91 | 1 | 110 | 34 | 31% |
| 4 | @ CHI | W 31-28 | +3 | 47 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 1 | 44 | 3 | 19% |
| 5 | vs NYJ | L 21-31 | +2.5 | 42.5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 11% |
| 6 | @ KC | L 8-19 | -10.5 | 47.5 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 1 | 50 | 3 | 27% |
| 7 | vs GB | W 19-17 | +1.5 | 44 | 6 | 6 | 76 | 1 | 66 | 10 | 25% |
| 8 | vs KC | W 24-9 | -7 | 45.5 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 17% |
| 10 | @ BUF | W 24-22 | -7.5 | 47.5 | 11 | 8 | 53 | 1 | 68 | 16 | 38% |
| 11 | vs MIN | W 21-20 | +2.5 | 43.5 | 5 | 4 | 66 | 1 | 73 | 2 | 16% |
| 12 | vs CLE | W 29-12 | +1.5 | 37.5 | 6 | 3 | 61 | 0 | 83 | 15 | 29% |
| 13 | @ HOU | L 17-22 | -3.5 | 47.5 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 1 | 216 | 7 | 29% |
| 14 | @ LAC | W 24-7 | -3 | 45 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 1 | 39 | 22 | 13% |
| 15 | @ DET | L 17-42 | -5.5 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 71 | 0 | 54 | 26 | 19% |
| 16 | vs NE | L 23-26 | +7 | 37.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 3% |
| 18 | @ LV | L 14-27 | -3.5 | 37.5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 13% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).