At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
273.3
▼ L5 256.4
Pass TD/g
2.17
▼ L5 2.00
Comp/g
25.1
▼ L5 24.4
Att/g
36.1
▼ L5 35.8
INT/g
0.61
▼ L5 0.60
Rush yds/g
15.9
▼ L5 13.6
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 78% | 80% | 100% | 56% |
| 224.5 | 78% | 80% | 100% | 56% |
| 249.5 | 72% | 80% | 100% | 44% |
| 274.5 | 44% | 40% | 67% | 22% |
| 299.5 | 33% | 20% | 56% | 11% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 80% | 100% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 80% | 89% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 20% | 56% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 20% | 33% | 11% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 89% | 100% | 100% | 78% |
| 19.5 | 89% | 100% | 100% | 78% |
| 21.5 | 72% | 60% | 100% | 44% |
| 23.5 | 67% | 60% | 89% | 44% |
| 25.5 | 44% | 40% | 67% | 22% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 44% | 60% | 44% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
22.1
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
319.2
9 g
Away
227.3
9 g
In wins
279.4
12 g
In losses
261.0
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs GB | L 32-48 | +7 | 52.5 | 41 | 60 | 403 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 522 | -3.4 |
| 1 | @ NYG | W 40-0 | +3.5 | 44.5 | 13 | 24 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 4.2 |
| 2 | vs NYJ | W 30-10 | +8.5 | 38.5 | 31 | 38 | 255 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 166 | 10.1 |
| 3 | @ ARI | L 16-28 | +11.5 | 43.5 | 25 | 40 | 249 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 206 | -3.7 |
| 4 | vs NE | W 38-3 | +6.5 | 43 | 28 | 34 | 261 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 207 | 3.9 |
| 5 | @ SF | L 10-42 | -3.5 | 45 | 14 | 24 | 153 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 304 | -12.2 |
| 6 | @ LAC | W 20-17 | +1.5 | 49.5 | 21 | 30 | 272 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 265 | 6.8 |
| 8 | vs LA | W 43-20 | +6.5 | 44.5 | 25 | 31 | 304 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 269 | 11.6 |
| 9 | @ PHI | L 23-28 | -3.5 | 46.5 | 29 | 44 | 374 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 420 | 12.9 |
| 10 | vs NYG | W 49-17 | +17.5 | 38.5 | 26 | 35 | 404 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 383 | 16.1 |
| 11 | @ CAR | W 33-10 | +11 | 43 | 25 | 38 | 189 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 7.6 |
| 12 | vs WAS | W 45-10 | +13 | 48 | 22 | 32 | 331 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 470 | 18.2 |
| 13 | vs SEA | W 41-35 | +9.5 | 47.5 | 29 | 41 | 299 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 239 | 13.8 |
| 14 | vs PHI | W 33-13 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 24 | 39 | 271 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 266 | -0.1 |
| 15 | @ BUF | L 10-31 | -2 | 49.5 | 21 | 34 | 134 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 256 | -12.4 |
| 16 | @ MIA | L 20-22 | -1.5 | 48.5 | 20 | 32 | 253 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 177 | 8.4 |
| 17 | vs DET | W 20-19 | +5.5 | 53 | 26 | 38 | 345 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 394 | 11.3 |
| 18 | @ WAS | W 38-10 | +13 | 47.5 | 31 | 36 | 279 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 22.1 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).