At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
42.1
▼ L5 36.4
Rec/g
3.8
▲ L5 4.0
Tgt/g
5.7
▲ L5 5.8
Rec TD/g
0.35
▼ L5 0.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 53% | 60% | 44% | 63% |
| 49.5 | 35% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
| 59.5 | 29% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| 69.5 | 12% | 0% | 11% | 13% |
| 79.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 59% | 60% | 56% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 60% | 44% | 63% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 40% | 22% | 38% |
| 5.5 | 18% | 20% | 22% | 13% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 20% | 22% | 13% |
| 7.5 | 12% | 20% | 22% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 59% | 60% | 44% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 41% | 40% | 44% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 18% | 20% | 22% | 13% |
| 10.5 | 12% | 20% | 22% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
27%
Air-yards share
23%
Rec EPA/game
3.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
46.4
9 g
Away
37.1
8 g
In wins
50.1
10 g
In losses
30.6
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs CLE | W 45-14 | -2.5 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 1 | 53 | 1 | 9% |
| 20* | @ BAL | L 10-34 | -10 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 75 | 3 | 23% |
| 1 | @ BAL | L 9-25 | -9.5 | 43.5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 9% |
| 2 | vs IND | L 20-31 | -1 | 40 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 52 | 14 | 16% |
| 3 | @ JAX | W 37-17 | -7.5 | 43.5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 10% |
| 4 | vs PIT | W 30-6 | -3 | 41.5 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 1 | 26 | 16 | 11% |
| 5 | @ ATL | L 19-21 | -2.5 | 42 | 10 | 7 | 65 | 1 | 81 | 15 | 31% |
| 6 | vs NO | W 20-13 | -2 | 42.5 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 1 | 52 | 28 | 29% |
| 8 | @ CAR | L 13-15 | +3 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 21% |
| 9 | vs TB | W 39-37 | +2.5 | 39.5 | 11 | 10 | 130 | 1 | 68 | 73 | 29% |
| 10 | @ CIN | W 30-27 | -5.5 | 46 | 6 | 4 | 71 | 0 | 81 | 12 | 15% |
| 11 | vs ARI | W 21-16 | +5.5 | 48 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 1 | 35 | 2 | 8% |
| 12 | vs JAX | L 21-24 | -1 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 37 | -1 | 6% |
| 15 | @ TEN | W 19-16 | -3 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 0 | 59 | 8 | 15% |
| 16 | vs CLE | L 22-36 | -3 | 40 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 0 | 52 | 32 | 23% |
| 17 | vs TEN | W 26-3 | +5 | 44 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 23 | 19 | 13% |
| 18 | @ IND | W 23-19 | +1.5 | 47.5 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 61 | 26 | 27% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).