At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
67.3
▼ L5 66.0
Rec/g
6.1
▲ L5 6.8
Tgt/g
10.3
▲ L5 11.4
Rec TD/g
0.47
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 76% | 80% | 78% | 75% |
| 49.5 | 65% | 60% | 56% | 75% |
| 59.5 | 53% | 40% | 44% | 63% |
| 69.5 | 47% | 40% | 44% | 50% |
| 79.5 | 35% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
| 89.5 | 18% | 40% | 22% | 13% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 80% | 89% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 82% | 80% | 89% | 75% |
| 4.5 | 71% | 80% | 67% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 59% | 60% | 44% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 41% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| 7.5 | 24% | 40% | 22% | 25% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 94% | 100% | 89% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 82% | 80% | 78% | 88% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 60% | 44% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
30%
Air-yards share
18%
Rec EPA/game
2.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
71.0
9 g
Away
63.1
8 g
In wins
51.4
8 g
In losses
81.4
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ DEN | W 17-16 | -3 | 43 | 9 | 6 | 66 | 0 | 95 | 3 | 35% |
| 2 | @ BUF | L 10-38 | -7.5 | 47 | 8 | 6 | 84 | 1 | 89 | 21 | 35% |
| 3 | vs PIT | L 18-23 | +3 | 43.5 | 20 | 13 | 172 | 2 | 240 | 34 | 45% |
| 4 | @ LAC | L 17-24 | -7 | 49 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 0 | 148 | 14 | 34% |
| 5 | vs GB | W 17-13 | +1 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 14% |
| 6 | vs NE | W 21-17 | +3 | 41.5 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 61 | 6 | 16% |
| 7 | @ CHI | L 12-30 | +2.5 | 38.5 | 12 | 7 | 57 | 0 | 85 | 26 | 27% |
| 8 | @ DET | L 14-26 | -7 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 139 | 2 | 33% |
| 9 | vs NYG | W 30-6 | +1 | 38.5 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 76 | 16 | 29% |
| 10 | vs NYJ | W 16-12 | -1 | 35.5 | 13 | 6 | 86 | 0 | 175 | 37 | 52% |
| 11 | @ MIA | L 13-20 | -14 | 44.5 | 13 | 7 | 82 | 1 | 195 | 10 | 34% |
| 12 | vs KC | L 17-31 | -9 | 42.5 | 7 | 5 | 73 | 0 | 77 | 30 | 22% |
| 14 | vs MIN | L 0-3 | -3 | 40.5 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 0 | 69 | 26 | 34% |
| 15 | vs LAC | W 63-21 | +3 | 36 | 12 | 8 | 101 | 1 | 90 | 41 | 35% |
| 16 | @ KC | W 20-14 | -11 | 40.5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 82 | 0 | 32% |
| 17 | @ IND | L 20-23 | -3.5 | 42.5 | 21 | 13 | 126 | 2 | 224 | 13 | 46% |
| 18 | vs DEN | W 27-14 | +3.5 | 37.5 | 8 | 5 | 46 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 30% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).