At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rush yds/g
70.5
▼ L5 62.2
Carries/g
15.2
▼ L5 13.6
Scrim yds/g
80.0
▼ L5 68.2
Rec/g
1.3
▲ L5 1.4
Tgt/g
1.8
▼ L5 1.8
TD/g
0.88
▼ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Rushing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 88% | 100% | 88% | 89% |
| 49.5 | 82% | 80% | 75% | 89% |
| 59.5 | 65% | 60% | 63% | 67% |
| 69.5 | 47% | 20% | 50% | 44% |
| 79.5 | 29% | 20% | 25% | 33% |
| 89.5 | 24% | 0% | 13% | 33% |
Rush + rec yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.5 | 76% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
| 74.5 | 41% | 40% | 38% | 44% |
| 89.5 | 29% | 0% | 25% | 33% |
| 104.5 | 24% | 0% | 13% | 33% |
| 119.5 | 12% | 0% | 13% | 11% |
Carries
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5 | 76% | 60% | 75% | 78% |
| 14.5 | 53% | 40% | 50% | 56% |
| 17.5 | 24% | 0% | 13% | 33% |
| 20.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 47% | 60% | 50% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 20% | 13% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Rushing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
3%
Air-yards share
-3%
Rec EPA/game
-6.1
Splits
Rushing yards per game.
Home
67.3
8 g
Away
73.3
9 g
In wins
69.7
12 g
In losses
72.4
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs LA | W 24-23 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 14 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 20* | vs TB | W 31-23 | +6 | 49.5 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
| 21* | @ SF | L 31-34 | -7.5 | 52.5 | 15 | 93 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 1 | @ KC | W 21-20 | -4 | 53 | 21 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | vs SEA | L 31-37 | +4.5 | 47.5 | 16 | 67 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 4 | @ GB | W 34-20 | +2.5 | 45 | 32 | 121 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 5 | vs CAR | W 42-24 | +9.5 | 43.5 | 19 | 109 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 6 | @ TB | W 20-6 | +3 | 43.5 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 | @ LAC | W 41-38 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 12 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | vs CHI | W 31-26 | +8 | 48 | 12 | 76 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 | vs GB | L 22-29 | +8.5 | 47 | 15 | 71 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | @ NO | W 33-28 | +4 | 47.5 | 18 | 56 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | @ CHI | L 13-28 | +3 | 44.5 | 10 | 66 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 | vs DEN | W 42-17 | +5.5 | 49 | 17 | 85 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | @ MIN | W 30-24 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 17 | 55 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 | @ DAL | L 19-20 | -5.5 | 53 | 14 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | vs MIN | W 30-20 | +3.5 | 47.5 | 10 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).