At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
57.4
▲ L5 78.0
Rec/g
5.2
▲ L5 6.0
Tgt/g
7.9
▲ L5 9.0
Rec TD/g
0.35
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 71% | 80% | 56% | 88% |
| 49.5 | 53% | 60% | 44% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 29% | 60% | 33% | 25% |
| 69.5 | 29% | 60% | 33% | 25% |
| 79.5 | 24% | 60% | 33% | 13% |
| 89.5 | 24% | 60% | 33% | 13% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 88% | 80% | 89% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 82% | 80% | 78% | 88% |
| 4.5 | 59% | 80% | 56% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 53% | 80% | 56% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 20% | 22% | 13% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 20% | 11% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 76% | 100% | 67% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 65% | 80% | 56% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 41% | 40% | 22% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 18% | 20% | 22% | 13% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
28%
Air-yards share
26%
Rec EPA/game
-3.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
58.3
9 g
Away
56.3
8 g
In wins
57.7
11 g
In losses
56.7
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ HOU | L 14-45 | +2.5 | 45 | 11 | 7 | 93 | 0 | 135 | 19 | 26% |
| 1 | vs CIN | W 24-3 | -1 | 46.5 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 10% |
| 2 | @ PIT | L 22-26 | +2.5 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 10% |
| 3 | vs TEN | W 27-3 | +3.5 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13% |
| 4 | vs BAL | L 3-28 | -2 | 38.5 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 42 | 22 | 21% |
| 6 | vs SF | W 19-17 | -9.5 | 36 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 19 | 19 | 12% |
| 7 | @ IND | W 39-38 | +3.5 | 40 | 9 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 23 | 42 | 26% |
| 8 | @ SEA | L 20-24 | -4 | 39.5 | 8 | 4 | 77 | 1 | 45 | 76 | 27% |
| 9 | vs ARI | W 27-0 | +13 | 38 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 21% |
| 10 | @ BAL | W 33-31 | -6 | 38.5 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 5 | 58 | 28% |
| 11 | vs PIT | W 13-10 | +2.5 | 34 | 15 | 7 | 56 | 0 | 55 | 34 | 37% |
| 12 | @ DEN | L 12-29 | -1.5 | 37.5 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 0 | 67 | 18 | 23% |
| 13 | @ LA | L 19-36 | -3.5 | 39.5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 42 | 18 | 15% |
| 14 | vs JAX | W 31-27 | +2.5 | 37.5 | 8 | 6 | 91 | 2 | 55 | 39 | 19% |
| 15 | vs CHI | W 20-17 | +3 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 104 | 1 | 72 | 58 | 32% |
| 16 | @ HOU | W 36-22 | +3 | 40 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 1 | 68 | 17 | 21% |
| 17 | vs NYJ | W 37-20 | +6.5 | 33.5 | 8 | 6 | 134 | 0 | 47 | 98 | 28% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).