At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
33.6
▲ L5 40.4
Rec/g
3.1
▲ L5 3.8
Tgt/g
4.6
▲ L5 6.4
Rec TD/g
0.32
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 26% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| 49.5 | 26% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| 59.5 | 16% | 20% | 30% | 0% |
| 69.5 | 16% | 20% | 30% | 0% |
| 79.5 | 11% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 5% | 20% | 10% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 53% | 80% | 70% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 80% | 70% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 21% | 20% | 20% | 22% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 6.5 | 5% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 5% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 47% | 60% | 60% | 33% |
| 6.5 | 21% | 40% | 40% | 0% |
| 8.5 | 16% | 40% | 30% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
11%
Air-yards share
13%
Rec EPA/game
-2.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
44.8
10 g
Away
21.2
9 g
In wins
37.5
12 g
In losses
27.0
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs HOU | W 23-14 | +9.5 | 41.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4% |
| 21* | vs BUF | W 32-29 | +1.5 | 49.5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8% |
| 22* | @ PHI | L 22-40 | +1.5 | 48.5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 54 | 1 | 16% |
| 1 | @ CHI | L 17-24 | -4 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4% |
| 2 | vs NYJ | L 17-24 | -3.5 | 41.5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 7% |
| 3 | vs GB | L 14-30 | +3 | 37 | 7 | 6 | 73 | 1 | 72 | 5 | 21% |
| 4 | @ MIA | W 31-12 | -2.5 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 22% |
| 6 | vs IND | L 17-20 | +2.5 | 42 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 0 | 91 | 0 | 22% |
| 7 | @ BUF | L 10-34 | -9.5 | 41 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 3% |
| 8 | @ LV | W 27-20 | +9 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 48 | 2 | 9% |
| 9 | vs TB | W 30-24 | +9 | 45.5 | 9 | 8 | 86 | 2 | 66 | 27 | 21% |
| 10 | vs DEN | W 16-14 | +7.5 | 42.5 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 0 | 38 | 20 | 13% |
| 11 | @ BUF | L 21-30 | -2.5 | 46.5 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 51 | 5 | 13% |
| 12 | @ CAR | W 30-27 | +11 | 43 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 45 | 5 | 17% |
| 13 | vs LV | W 19-17 | +13.5 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 90 | 0 | 117 | 21 | 20% |
| 14 | vs LAC | W 19-17 | +5 | 43.5 | 9 | 4 | 32 | 1 | 166 | 10 | 25% |
| 15 | @ CLE | W 21-7 | +4.5 | 41.5 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 70 | 7 | 16% |
| 16 | vs HOU | W 27-19 | +3.5 | 42.5 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 31 | 6 | 10% |
| 17 | @ PIT | W 29-10 | +3 | 43.5 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 27 | 5 | 11% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).