At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
57.2
▼ L5 52.0
Rec/g
4.2
▼ L5 3.8
Tgt/g
6.4
▼ L5 6.0
Rec TD/g
0.80
■ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 80% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| 49.5 | 80% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| 59.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| 69.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 79.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 89.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 80% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% | 80% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| 5.5 | 30% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| 6.5 | 10% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 60% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| 6.5 | 50% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 30% | 40% | 60% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 10% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
27%
Air-yards share
33%
Rec EPA/game
-1.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
62.8
5 g
Away
51.6
5 g
In wins
56.5
8 g
In losses
60.0
2 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ TEN | W 38-13 | -2.5 | 54 | 8 | 6 | 83 | 2 | 90 | 25 | 25% |
| 2 | vs MIN | W 34-33 | +4 | 51 | 4 | 4 | 54 | 1 | 41 | 13 | 12% |
| 3 | @ JAX | W 31-19 | +8 | 51.5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 36 | 12 | 18% |
| 4 | @ LA | W 37-20 | -3.5 | 53.5 | 7 | 4 | 67 | 0 | 92 | 17 | 24% |
| 5 | vs SF | W 17-10 | +6 | 48.5 | 9 | 6 | 87 | 1 | 164 | 13 | 32% |
| 6 | @ CLE | W 37-14 | -3 | 48 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 2 | 49 | 17 | 14% |
| 7 | vs HOU | W 31-5 | +20.5 | 47 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 1 | 77 | 10 | 32% |
| 8 | vs GB | L 21-24 | +6.5 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 66 | 0 | 42 | 24 | 6% |
| 13 | @ CHI | W 33-22 | +7.5 | 43.5 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 1 | 28 | 4 | 13% |
| 14 | vs LA | L 23-30 | +3 | 51 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 169 | 5 | 27% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).