At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
62.2
▼ L5 56.6
Rec/g
4.4
▲ L5 5.0
Tgt/g
8.1
▲ L5 8.4
Rec TD/g
0.41
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 76% | 60% | 67% | 88% |
| 49.5 | 53% | 40% | 33% | 75% |
| 59.5 | 47% | 40% | 33% | 63% |
| 69.5 | 29% | 40% | 22% | 38% |
| 79.5 | 18% | 20% | 11% | 25% |
| 89.5 | 18% | 20% | 11% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 60% | 67% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 60% | 56% | 75% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 60% | 22% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 29% | 60% | 11% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 29% | 60% | 11% | 50% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 94% | 80% | 89% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 80% | 33% | 88% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 60% | 33% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 20% | 11% | 50% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
38%
Air-yards share
45%
Rec EPA/game
-3.9
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
51.3
9 g
Away
74.4
8 g
In wins
75.0
6 g
In losses
55.2
11 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ NO | L 15-16 | -3 | 41 | 13 | 7 | 65 | 0 | 130 | 5 | 39% |
| 2 | vs LAC | W 27-24 | -2.5 | 45.5 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 21% |
| 3 | @ CLE | L 3-27 | -3.5 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 103 | 11 | 29% |
| 4 | vs CIN | W 27-3 | -2.5 | 41.5 | 6 | 4 | 63 | 0 | 108 | 9 | 23% |
| 5 | @ IND | L 16-23 | +2.5 | 43.5 | 11 | 8 | 140 | 0 | 173 | 27 | 32% |
| 6 | vs BAL | L 16-24 | -5.5 | 42.5 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 61 | 5 | 25% |
| 8 | vs ATL | W 28-23 | -2.5 | 35 | 6 | 4 | 128 | 3 | 134 | 33 | 23% |
| 9 | @ PIT | L 16-20 | -3.5 | 37 | 11 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 150 | 31 | 30% |
| 10 | @ TB | L 6-20 | -2.5 | 39.5 | 9 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 184 | 3 | 23% |
| 11 | @ JAX | L 14-34 | -6.5 | 40 | 5 | 4 | 59 | 1 | 63 | 10 | 29% |
| 12 | vs CAR | W 17-10 | +3.5 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 49 | 0 | 68 | 11 | 19% |
| 13 | vs IND | L 28-31 | -1.5 | 42 | 12 | 5 | 75 | 1 | 184 | 6 | 36% |
| 14 | @ MIA | W 28-27 | -14 | 45 | 12 | 7 | 124 | 1 | 171 | 15 | 33% |
| 15 | vs HOU | L 16-19 | +3 | 38 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 207 | 2 | 35% |
| 16 | vs SEA | L 17-20 | -3 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 16% |
| 17 | @ HOU | L 3-26 | -5 | 44 | 7 | 7 | 72 | 0 | 45 | 27 | 28% |
| 18 | vs JAX | W 28-20 | -3.5 | 41.5 | 10 | 7 | 46 | 1 | 69 | 22 | 38% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).