At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
228.1
▼ L5 223.4
Pass TD/g
1.47
▲ L5 2.80
Comp/g
22.1
▲ L5 22.8
Att/g
32.2
▼ L5 30.8
INT/g
0.47
▼ L5 0.40
Rush yds/g
2.4
▼ L5 0.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 65% | 60% | 75% | 56% |
| 224.5 | 53% | 40% | 50% | 56% |
| 249.5 | 41% | 40% | 38% | 44% |
| 274.5 | 35% | 20% | 25% | 44% |
| 299.5 | 35% | 20% | 25% | 44% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 76% | 100% | 88% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 100% | 50% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 60% | 25% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 20% | 13% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 82% | 100% | 88% | 78% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 80% | 75% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 59% | 80% | 75% | 44% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 40% | 25% | 44% |
| 25.5 | 18% | 20% | 13% | 22% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 47% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
15.0
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
221.4
8 g
Away
234.1
9 g
In wins
226.1
9 g
In losses
230.4
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs TEN | W 16-15 | +3 | 41 | 23 | 33 | 305 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 378 | 3.7 |
| 2 | @ CAR | W 20-17 | +3 | 39.5 | 21 | 36 | 228 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 279 | -2.2 |
| 3 | @ GB | L 17-18 | +1.5 | 41.5 | 13 | 18 | 103 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 130 | 0.1 |
| 4 | vs TB | L 9-26 | +4 | 41 | 23 | 37 | 127 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 282 | -12.8 |
| 5 | @ NE | W 34-0 | -2.5 | 38.5 | 18 | 26 | 183 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 249 | 3.4 |
| 6 | @ HOU | L 13-20 | +2 | 42.5 | 32 | 50 | 353 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 518 | 5.2 |
| 7 | vs JAX | L 24-31 | +2.5 | 41 | 33 | 55 | 301 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 322 | -16.9 |
| 8 | @ IND | W 38-27 | +2 | 43.5 | 19 | 27 | 310 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 332 | 13.5 |
| 9 | vs CHI | W 24-17 | +9 | 42 | 25 | 34 | 211 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 2.7 |
| 10 | @ MIN | L 19-27 | +3 | 41 | 13 | 18 | 110 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 97 | -2.3 |
| 12 | @ ATL | L 15-24 | +2 | 42 | 24 | 38 | 304 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 329 | -1.3 |
| 13 | vs DET | L 28-33 | -4 | 47.5 | 17 | 22 | 226 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 157 | 7.3 |
| 14 | vs CAR | W 28-6 | +5.5 | 39 | 18 | 26 | 119 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 109 | -9.6 |
| 15 | vs NYG | W 24-6 | +6 | 39.5 | 23 | 28 | 218 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 9.9 |
| 16 | @ LA | L 22-30 | -4 | 45.5 | 27 | 40 | 319 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 378 | 0.7 |
| 17 | @ TB | W 23-13 | -2.5 | 42.5 | 24 | 32 | 197 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 165 | 9.2 |
| 18 | vs ATL | W 48-17 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 22 | 28 | 264 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 15.0 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).