At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
71.4
▼ L5 65.6
Rec/g
5.2
▼ L5 5.2
Tgt/g
7.3
▼ L5 7.2
Rec TD/g
0.41
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 82% | 80% | 88% | 78% |
| 49.5 | 65% | 80% | 75% | 56% |
| 59.5 | 53% | 60% | 63% | 44% |
| 69.5 | 53% | 60% | 63% | 44% |
| 79.5 | 35% | 20% | 38% | 33% |
| 89.5 | 35% | 20% | 38% | 33% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 82% | 80% | 75% | 89% |
| 4.5 | 59% | 60% | 38% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 41% | 20% | 38% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 35% | 20% | 38% | 33% |
| 7.5 | 12% | 20% | 13% | 11% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 94% | 100% | 88% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 53% | 40% | 38% | 67% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 40% | 25% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 18% | 20% | 13% | 22% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
22%
Air-yards share
42%
Rec EPA/game
-0.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
77.5
8 g
Away
66.0
9 g
In wins
70.3
11 g
In losses
73.5
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ TB | L 9-32 | +2.5 | 43 | 12 | 8 | 148 | 0 | 160 | 43 | 38% |
| 1 | @ NE | W 25-20 | +3.5 | 44.5 | 10 | 7 | 47 | 1 | 100 | 8 | 33% |
| 2 | vs MIN | W 34-28 | +6 | 49 | 5 | 4 | 131 | 1 | 123 | 29 | 23% |
| 3 | @ TB | W 25-11 | +6 | 44 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 58 | 10 | 14% |
| 4 | vs WAS | W 34-31 | +9.5 | 43 | 9 | 7 | 78 | 0 | 105 | 18 | 26% |
| 5 | @ LA | W 23-14 | +3.5 | 50.5 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 15% |
| 6 | @ NYJ | L 14-20 | +6.5 | 43 | 11 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 154 | 3 | 26% |
| 7 | vs MIA | W 31-17 | +3 | 52 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 54 | 12 | 17% |
| 8 | @ WAS | W 38-31 | +7 | 42.5 | 7 | 7 | 99 | 1 | 61 | 38 | 20% |
| 9 | vs DAL | W 28-23 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 3 | 3 | 51 | 1 | 43 | 8 | 14% |
| 11 | @ KC | W 21-17 | -2.5 | 46 | 8 | 6 | 99 | 0 | 96 | 6 | 38% |
| 12 | vs BUF | W 37-34 | +2.5 | 49 | 8 | 7 | 106 | 1 | 118 | 36 | 29% |
| 13 | vs SF | L 19-42 | -3 | 46.5 | 11 | 9 | 96 | 1 | 99 | 35 | 26% |
| 14 | @ DAL | L 13-33 | -3.5 | 52.5 | 10 | 5 | 73 | 0 | 132 | 25 | 36% |
| 15 | @ SEA | L 17-20 | +5 | 46 | 5 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 43 | 7 | 17% |
| 16 | vs NYG | W 33-25 | +14 | 41 | 5 | 4 | 79 | 1 | 34 | 51 | 14% |
| 17 | vs ARI | L 31-35 | +12 | 48 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 95 | 8 | 22% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).