At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
54.6
▲ L5 59.8
Rec/g
3.9
▼ L5 3.4
Tgt/g
6.7
▼ L5 5.4
Rec TD/g
0.43
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 71% | 80% | 57% | 86% |
| 49.5 | 57% | 80% | 43% | 71% |
| 59.5 | 43% | 60% | 29% | 57% |
| 69.5 | 36% | 40% | 29% | 43% |
| 79.5 | 21% | 20% | 29% | 14% |
| 89.5 | 7% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 80% | 71% | 86% |
| 3.5 | 64% | 60% | 43% | 86% |
| 4.5 | 21% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 7% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 86% | 80% | 86% | 86% |
| 6.5 | 43% | 20% | 43% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 14% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 7% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
25%
Air-yards share
76%
Rec EPA/game
6.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
49.3
7 g
Away
60.0
7 g
In wins
59.4
7 g
In losses
49.9
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ BUF | L 17-31 | -10 | 39.5 | 7 | 4 | 48 | 1 | 75 | 18 | 18% |
| 1 | vs SF | L 7-30 | -1.5 | 41.5 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 78 | 27 | 13% |
| 7 | @ LA | W 24-17 | -3.5 | 44 | 6 | 5 | 79 | 0 | 59 | 37 | 26% |
| 8 | vs JAX | L 10-20 | -2.5 | 41 | 14 | 8 | 85 | 0 | 188 | 9 | 35% |
| 9 | vs TEN | W 20-16 | +3.5 | 37 | 9 | 7 | 90 | 1 | 75 | 39 | 31% |
| 10 | vs GB | W 23-19 | +3 | 38.5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 67 | 2 | 18% |
| 11 | @ CLE | L 10-13 | -2.5 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 104 | 12 | 32% |
| 12 | @ CIN | W 16-10 | +2 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 50 | 0 | 83 | 9 | 25% |
| 13 | vs ARI | L 10-24 | +6 | 41 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 1 | 75 | 5 | 19% |
| 14 | vs NE | L 18-21 | +6 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 57 | 1 | 136 | 12 | 20% |
| 15 | @ IND | L 13-30 | -1.5 | 41.5 | 6 | 4 | 62 | 1 | 83 | 3 | 23% |
| 16 | vs CIN | W 34-11 | -3 | 39.5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 63 | 2 | 20% |
| 17 | @ SEA | W 30-23 | -4.5 | 40.5 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 0 | 40 | 36 | 19% |
| 18 | @ BAL | W 17-10 | +3 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 89 | 1 | 55 | 68 | 25% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).