At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
37.5
▲ L5 41.2
Rec/g
2.5
▼ L5 2.4
Tgt/g
4.7
▲ L5 4.8
Rec TD/g
0.36
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 36% | 40% | 29% | 43% |
| 49.5 | 21% | 20% | 14% | 29% |
| 59.5 | 14% | 20% | 14% | 14% |
| 69.5 | 14% | 20% | 14% | 14% |
| 79.5 | 14% | 20% | 14% | 14% |
| 89.5 | 7% | 20% | 14% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 43% | 20% | 14% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 20% | 14% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 20% | 14% | 0% |
| 5.5 | 7% | 20% | 14% | 0% |
| 6.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 36% | 40% | 14% | 57% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 20% | 14% | 14% |
| 8.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 10.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
22%
Air-yards share
59%
Rec EPA/game
-4.4
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
33.9
7 g
Away
41.1
7 g
In wins
20.5
2 g
In losses
40.3
12 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs NO | L 17-20 | -3 | 39.5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 3% |
| 3 | @ SEA | L 27-37 | -5 | 42.5 | 11 | 4 | 86 | 1 | 188 | 24 | 19% |
| 4 | vs MIN | L 13-21 | -4.5 | 46.5 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 10% |
| 5 | @ DET | L 24-42 | -9.5 | 43.5 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 1 | 75 | 0 | 17% |
| 6 | @ MIA | L 21-42 | -14 | 47.5 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 65 | 10 | 17% |
| 8 | vs HOU | W 15-13 | -3 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 71 | 4 | 13% |
| 9 | vs IND | L 13-27 | -1.5 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 8% |
| 12 | @ TEN | L 10-17 | -3.5 | 36 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 36 | 5 | 17% |
| 13 | @ TB | L 18-21 | -4 | 37 | 4 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 74 | 1 | 15% |
| 14 | @ NO | L 6-28 | -5.5 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 62 | 8 | 13% |
| 15 | vs ATL | W 9-7 | -3 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 9% |
| 16 | vs GB | L 30-33 | -3.5 | 39.5 | 8 | 6 | 98 | 2 | 132 | 5 | 25% |
| 17 | @ JAX | L 0-26 | -3.5 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 139 | 0 | 19% |
| 18 | vs TB | L 0-9 | -5 | 36.5 | 4 | 2 | 46 | 0 | 62 | 19 | 22% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).