At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
80.2
▼ L5 72.2
Rec/g
5.6
▼ L5 5.2
Tgt/g
8.0
▲ L5 8.6
Rec TD/g
0.47
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 88% | 80% | 75% | 100% |
| 49.5 | 76% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
| 59.5 | 47% | 60% | 38% | 56% |
| 69.5 | 35% | 20% | 25% | 44% |
| 79.5 | 35% | 20% | 25% | 44% |
| 89.5 | 35% | 20% | 25% | 44% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 94% | 100% | 88% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 76% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
| 4.5 | 59% | 40% | 75% | 44% |
| 5.5 | 47% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 35% | 20% | 38% | 33% |
| 7.5 | 29% | 20% | 38% | 22% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 94% | 100% | 88% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 65% | 60% | 75% | 56% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 40% | 63% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 12% | 20% | 13% | 11% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
38%
Air-yards share
23%
Rec EPA/game
4.0
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
70.5
8 g
Away
88.9
9 g
In wins
100.1
7 g
In losses
66.3
10 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs GB | L 20-38 | +1 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 6% |
| 2 | @ TB | L 17-27 | -2.5 | 41 | 7 | 6 | 104 | 0 | 58 | 43 | 25% |
| 3 | @ KC | L 10-41 | -13 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 1 | 134 | 10 | 30% |
| 4 | vs DEN | L 28-31 | -3 | 47 | 9 | 8 | 131 | 1 | 121 | 22 | 28% |
| 5 | @ WAS | W 40-20 | -6 | 45.5 | 10 | 8 | 230 | 3 | 115 | 142 | 40% |
| 6 | vs MIN | L 13-19 | -3 | 44.5 | 8 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 88 | 13 | 33% |
| 7 | vs LV | W 30-12 | -2.5 | 38.5 | 9 | 8 | 54 | 0 | 30 | 29 | 31% |
| 8 | @ LAC | L 13-30 | -9.5 | 46 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 0 | 42 | 36 | 16% |
| 9 | @ NO | L 17-24 | -9 | 42 | 5 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 95 | 7 | 19% |
| 10 | vs CAR | W 16-13 | +3 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 108 | 33 | 28% |
| 11 | @ DET | L 26-31 | -8 | 48 | 9 | 7 | 96 | 1 | 137 | 21 | 41% |
| 12 | @ MIN | W 12-10 | -3 | 43.5 | 13 | 11 | 114 | 0 | 53 | 76 | 41% |
| 14 | vs DET | W 28-13 | -3 | 44.5 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 1 | 99 | 6 | 33% |
| 15 | @ CLE | L 17-20 | -3 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 0 | 131 | 2 | 23% |
| 16 | vs ARI | W 27-16 | +4.5 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 67 | 3 | 26% |
| 17 | vs ATL | W 37-17 | +3 | 39 | 13 | 9 | 159 | 1 | 153 | 51 | 43% |
| 18 | @ GB | L 9-17 | -2.5 | 45.5 | 6 | 4 | 64 | 0 | 32 | 33 | 38% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).