At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
69.6
▼ L5 60.4
Rec/g
4.1
▼ L5 3.4
Tgt/g
7.4
▼ L5 6.2
Rec TD/g
0.50
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 81% | 80% | 86% | 78% |
| 49.5 | 75% | 80% | 71% | 78% |
| 59.5 | 56% | 40% | 71% | 44% |
| 69.5 | 44% | 40% | 57% | 33% |
| 79.5 | 31% | 20% | 43% | 22% |
| 89.5 | 31% | 20% | 43% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 81% | 60% | 100% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 60% | 71% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 40% | 71% | 33% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 0% | 29% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 88% | 100% | 100% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 50% | 20% | 71% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 31% | 0% | 43% | 22% |
| 10.5 | 13% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
23%
Air-yards share
29%
Rec EPA/game
-4.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
77.1
7 g
Away
63.8
9 g
In wins
66.3
8 g
In losses
73.0
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs LA | L 13-30 | +4.5 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 1 | 76 | 11 | 21% |
| 2 | @ DET | W 37-31 | -4.5 | 47.5 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 0 | 68 | 7 | 16% |
| 3 | vs CAR | W 37-27 | +5 | 42.5 | 8 | 6 | 112 | 0 | 118 | 28 | 23% |
| 4 | @ NYG | W 24-3 | +2.5 | 46.5 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 1 | 39 | 7 | 15% |
| 6 | @ CIN | L 13-17 | -3 | 45.5 | 9 | 4 | 69 | 0 | 147 | 25 | 24% |
| 8 | vs CLE | W 24-20 | +4 | 39.5 | 14 | 5 | 67 | 0 | 156 | 14 | 39% |
| 9 | @ BAL | L 3-37 | -6 | 44.5 | 4 | 1 | 50 | 0 | 52 | 27 | 16% |
| 10 | vs WAS | W 29-26 | +6 | 44 | 12 | 7 | 98 | 0 | 137 | 42 | 29% |
| 11 | @ LA | L 16-17 | -2.5 | 45 | 9 | 5 | 94 | 1 | 130 | 24 | 24% |
| 12 | vs SF | L 13-31 | -7 | 43.5 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 161 | 14 | 33% |
| 13 | @ DAL | L 35-41 | -9.5 | 47.5 | 8 | 6 | 134 | 3 | 93 | 66 | 21% |
| 14 | @ SF | L 16-28 | -14.5 | 44.5 | 5 | 2 | 52 | 1 | 111 | 16 | 16% |
| 15 | vs PHI | W 20-17 | -5 | 46 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 0 | 65 | 18 | 19% |
| 16 | @ TEN | W 20-17 | +3 | 42 | 6 | 4 | 56 | 1 | 53 | 20 | 17% |
| 17 | vs PIT | L 23-30 | +4.5 | 40.5 | 8 | 5 | 106 | 0 | 77 | 45 | 24% |
| 18 | @ ARI | W 21-20 | +2.5 | 48 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 46 | 3 | 23% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).