At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
38.4
▲ L5 44.4
Rec/g
3.6
▼ L5 3.2
Tgt/g
6.2
▼ L5 6.2
Rec TD/g
0.12
▲ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 53% | 60% | 56% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 24% | 40% | 22% | 25% |
| 59.5 | 18% | 40% | 22% | 13% |
| 69.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| 79.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| 89.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 65% | 60% | 67% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 41% | 40% | 44% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 24% | 20% | 33% | 13% |
| 5.5 | 12% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 71% | 60% | 67% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 53% | 20% | 44% | 63% |
| 8.5 | 24% | 20% | 11% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
21%
Air-yards share
21%
Rec EPA/game
6.0
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
36.1
9 g
Away
40.9
8 g
In wins
38.8
11 g
In losses
37.5
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ HOU | L 14-45 | +2.5 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5% |
| 1 | vs CIN | W 24-3 | -1 | 46.5 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 64 | 7 | 24% |
| 2 | @ PIT | L 22-26 | +2.5 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 120 | 2 | 23% |
| 3 | vs TEN | W 27-3 | +3.5 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 29% |
| 4 | vs BAL | L 3-28 | -2 | 38.5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 12% |
| 6 | vs SF | W 19-17 | -9.5 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 47 | 16 | 21% |
| 7 | @ IND | W 39-38 | +3.5 | 40 | 7 | 4 | 59 | 0 | 63 | 21 | 20% |
| 8 | @ SEA | L 20-24 | -4 | 39.5 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 86 | 11 | 17% |
| 9 | vs ARI | W 27-0 | +13 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 7% |
| 10 | @ BAL | W 33-31 | -6 | 38.5 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 1 | 82 | 13 | 22% |
| 11 | vs PIT | W 13-10 | +2.5 | 34 | 7 | 6 | 60 | 0 | 49 | 20 | 17% |
| 12 | @ DEN | L 12-29 | -1.5 | 37.5 | 9 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 128 | 6 | 23% |
| 13 | @ LA | L 19-36 | -3.5 | 39.5 | 12 | 4 | 83 | 0 | 255 | 5 | 29% |
| 14 | vs JAX | W 31-27 | +2.5 | 37.5 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 79 | 8 | 14% |
| 15 | vs CHI | W 20-17 | +3 | 38 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 60 | 2 | 7% |
| 16 | @ HOU | W 36-22 | +3 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 35 | 15 | 9% |
| 17 | vs NYJ | W 37-20 | +6.5 | 33.5 | 6 | 5 | 61 | 1 | 38 | 21 | 21% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).