At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
56.6
▲ L5 71.4
Rec/g
6.7
▲ L5 8.2
Tgt/g
8.4
▲ L5 10.4
Rec TD/g
0.24
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 76% | 80% | 67% | 88% |
| 49.5 | 53% | 80% | 56% | 50% |
| 59.5 | 41% | 80% | 33% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 29% | 60% | 11% | 50% |
| 79.5 | 24% | 40% | 11% | 38% |
| 89.5 | 12% | 40% | 0% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 4.5 | 76% | 80% | 67% | 88% |
| 5.5 | 59% | 80% | 67% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 47% | 60% | 44% | 50% |
| 7.5 | 29% | 60% | 11% | 50% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 76% | 60% | 67% | 88% |
| 8.5 | 29% | 60% | 11% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 18% | 60% | 0% | 38% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
32%
Air-yards share
23%
Rec EPA/game
0.7
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
48.3
9 g
Away
66.0
8 g
In wins
49.8
9 g
In losses
64.4
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ IND | W 31-21 | +4 | 45.5 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 26 | 23 | 16% |
| 2 | vs KC | L 9-17 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 8 | 6 | 57 | 0 | 28 | 54 | 20% |
| 3 | vs HOU | L 17-37 | +7.5 | 43.5 | 8 | 7 | 67 | 0 | 20 | 49 | 20% |
| 4 | vs ATL | W 23-7 | +3.5 | 42.5 | 8 | 7 | 59 | 0 | 34 | 30 | 27% |
| 5 | @ BUF | W 25-20 | -5.5 | 48.5 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 47 | 17 | 22% |
| 6 | vs IND | W 37-20 | +4 | 44 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 23 | 18 | 25% |
| 7 | @ NO | W 31-24 | -2.5 | 41 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 0 | 34 | 35 | 23% |
| 8 | @ PIT | W 20-10 | +2.5 | 41 | 10 | 10 | 88 | 0 | 33 | 63 | 31% |
| 10 | vs SF | L 3-34 | -3 | 44.5 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 23% |
| 11 | vs TEN | W 34-14 | +6.5 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 75 | 5 | 19% |
| 12 | @ HOU | W 24-21 | +1 | 48 | 8 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 51 | 16 | 22% |
| 13 | vs CIN | L 31-34 | +10 | 41 | 9 | 9 | 82 | 1 | 34 | 48 | 23% |
| 14 | @ CLE | L 27-31 | -2.5 | 37.5 | 12 | 11 | 95 | 2 | 67 | 32 | 24% |
| 15 | vs BAL | L 7-23 | -4 | 42.5 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 14% |
| 16 | @ TB | L 12-30 | +2 | 43 | 15 | 10 | 95 | 0 | 102 | 44 | 34% |
| 17 | vs CAR | W 26-0 | +3.5 | 38 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 0 | 31 | 29 | 26% |
| 18 | @ TEN | L 20-28 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 13 | 10 | 79 | 1 | 69 | 30 | 32% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).