At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
31.1
▲ L5 35.0
Rec/g
2.7
▲ L5 2.8
Tgt/g
4.6
▼ L5 4.4
Rec TD/g
0.22
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 33% | 40% | 0% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 22% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 59.5 | 22% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 69.5 | 22% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 79.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 17% |
| 89.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 33% | 20% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 6.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 17% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 44% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 33% | 20% | 33% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 11% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
14%
Air-yards share
17%
Rec EPA/game
-2.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
18.7
3 g
Away
37.3
6 g
In wins
50.5
2 g
In losses
25.6
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | @ LA | L 9-26 | -7 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 3% |
| 9 | @ CLE | L 0-27 | -13 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 5% |
| 11 | @ HOU | L 16-21 | -5.5 | 48 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 0 | 38 | 50 | 28% |
| 12 | vs LA | L 14-37 | -3 | 45 | 9 | 3 | 27 | 1 | 100 | 4 | 20% |
| 13 | @ PIT | W 24-10 | -6 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 13% |
| 15 | vs SF | L 29-45 | -12.5 | 48 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 36 | 12 | 8% |
| 16 | @ CHI | L 16-27 | -4.5 | 42 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 1 | 61 | 39 | 14% |
| 17 | @ PHI | W 35-31 | -12 | 48 | 7 | 7 | 82 | 0 | 45 | 37 | 23% |
| 18 | vs SEA | L 20-21 | -2.5 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 29 | 6 | 14% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).