At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
30.7
▲ L5 56.4
Rec/g
2.3
▲ L5 3.4
Tgt/g
3.1
▲ L5 4.4
Rec TD/g
0.40
▲ L5 1.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 40% | 80% | 30% | 60% |
| 49.5 | 20% | 60% | 10% | 40% |
| 59.5 | 13% | 40% | 10% | 20% |
| 69.5 | 13% | 40% | 10% | 20% |
| 79.5 | 7% | 20% | 10% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 33% | 60% | 20% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 40% | 10% | 20% |
| 5.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 6.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 20% | 40% | 10% | 40% |
| 6.5 | 7% | 20% | 10% | 0% |
| 8.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
8%
Air-yards share
14%
Rec EPA/game
5.0
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
27.7
10 g
Away
36.8
5 g
In wins
35.4
11 g
In losses
18.0
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs HOU | W 34-10 | +10 | 44 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 1 | 35 | 14 | 14% |
| 21* | vs KC | L 10-17 | +4.5 | 44 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 32 | 9 | 9% |
| 1 | vs HOU | W 25-9 | +9.5 | 43.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 5% |
| 2 | @ CIN | W 27-24 | -3.5 | 45.5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3% |
| 3 | vs IND | L 19-22 | +7.5 | 43.5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 7% |
| 8 | @ ARI | W 31-24 | +9.5 | 44.5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 4% |
| 9 | vs SEA | W 37-3 | +6 | 44.5 | 4 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 14 | 28 | 13% |
| 10 | vs CLE | L 31-33 | +6 | 38.5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4% |
| 11 | vs CIN | W 34-20 | +4 | 46.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 9% |
| 12 | @ LAC | W 20-10 | +3 | 49 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 20% |
| 14 | vs LA | W 37-31 | +7.5 | 42 | 7 | 5 | 83 | 1 | 42 | 49 | 18% |
| 15 | @ JAX | W 23-7 | +4 | 42.5 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 26% |
| 16 | @ SF | W 33-19 | -6.5 | 47.5 | 4 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 51 | 24 | 12% |
| 17 | vs MIA | W 56-19 | +3 | 47 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 2 | 28 | 27 | 14% |
| 18 | vs PIT | L 10-17 | -3 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 8% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).