At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rush yds/g
69.3
▲ L5 82.0
Carries/g
15.9
▲ L5 16.2
Scrim yds/g
86.2
▲ L5 98.8
Rec/g
3.1
▲ L5 4.0
Tgt/g
3.4
▲ L5 4.2
TD/g
0.67
▲ L5 1.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Rushing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 83% | 80% | 70% | 100% |
| 49.5 | 78% | 80% | 70% | 88% |
| 59.5 | 61% | 60% | 60% | 63% |
| 69.5 | 39% | 60% | 30% | 50% |
| 79.5 | 33% | 60% | 30% | 38% |
| 89.5 | 22% | 40% | 10% | 38% |
Rush + rec yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.5 | 83% | 80% | 80% | 88% |
| 74.5 | 61% | 80% | 60% | 63% |
| 89.5 | 39% | 60% | 40% | 38% |
| 104.5 | 22% | 40% | 10% | 38% |
| 119.5 | 17% | 40% | 10% | 25% |
Carries
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5 | 83% | 80% | 80% | 88% |
| 14.5 | 72% | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| 17.5 | 39% | 60% | 40% | 38% |
| 20.5 | 11% | 0% | 10% | 13% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 67% | 80% | 70% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 80% | 60% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 60% | 60% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 40% | 30% | 13% |
Rushing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
25%
Air-yards share
-4%
Rec EPA/game
-0.6
Splits
Rushing yards per game.
Home
63.8
10 g
Away
76.3
8 g
In wins
73.8
13 g
In losses
57.6
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs MIA | W 26-7 | +4.5 | 43.5 | 24 | 89 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20* | @ BUF | W 27-24 | -2.5 | 45.5 | 15 | 97 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| 21* | @ BAL | W 17-10 | -4.5 | 44 | 24 | 68 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 0 |
| 22* | vs SF | W 25-22 | -1.5 | 47 | 18 | 59 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
| 1 | vs DET | L 20-21 | +4 | 53 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 0 |
| 2 | @ JAX | W 17-9 | +3.5 | 50.5 | 12 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | vs CHI | W 41-10 | +13 | 48 | 15 | 62 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| 4 | @ NYJ | W 23-20 | +9.5 | 41.5 | 20 | 115 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 0 |
| 5 | @ MIN | W 27-20 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 16 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 6 | vs DEN | W 19-8 | +10.5 | 47.5 | 16 | 62 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
| 7 | vs LAC | W 31-17 | +5.5 | 48.5 | 13 | 32 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 1 |
| 8 | @ DEN | L 9-24 | +7 | 45.5 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 9 | vs MIA | W 21-14 | +1 | 51 | 16 | 66 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | vs PHI | L 17-21 | +2.5 | 46 | 19 | 89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | @ LV | W 31-17 | +9 | 42.5 | 15 | 55 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 | @ GB | L 19-27 | +5.5 | 43.5 | 18 | 110 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | vs LV | L 14-20 | +11 | 40.5 | 11 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | vs CIN | W 25-17 | +7.5 | 46 | 18 | 130 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 1 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).