At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
215.1
▲ L5 257.4
Pass TD/g
1.33
▲ L5 1.80
Comp/g
19.0
▲ L5 22.4
Att/g
27.0
▲ L5 33.0
INT/g
0.78
▲ L5 1.20
Rush yds/g
14.1
▼ L5 11.4
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 56% | 60% | 75% | 40% |
| 224.5 | 56% | 60% | 75% | 40% |
| 249.5 | 44% | 60% | 50% | 40% |
| 274.5 | 44% | 60% | 50% | 40% |
| 299.5 | 33% | 40% | 25% | 40% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 100% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 60% | 75% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 20% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 78% | 100% | 100% | 60% |
| 19.5 | 33% | 40% | 25% | 40% |
| 21.5 | 33% | 40% | 25% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 33% | 40% | 25% | 40% |
| 25.5 | 33% | 40% | 25% | 40% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 56% | 80% | 100% | 20% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
2.5
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
245.5
4 g
Away
190.8
5 g
In wins
277.3
4 g
In losses
165.4
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ CLE | L 3-24 | +1 | 46.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | -1.2 |
| 11 | @ BAL | L 20-34 | -4 | 46.5 | 8 | 14 | 68 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 148 | -5.4 |
| 12 | vs PIT | L 10-16 | -2 | 36 | 19 | 26 | 227 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 132 | -2.7 |
| 13 | @ JAX | W 34-31 | -10 | 41 | 32 | 37 | 354 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 166 | 19.5 |
| 14 | vs IND | W 34-14 | +3 | 45 | 18 | 24 | 275 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 108 | 8.0 |
| 15 | vs MIN | W 27-24 | +3 | 41.5 | 29 | 42 | 324 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 377 | 10.3 |
| 16 | @ PIT | L 11-34 | +3 | 39.5 | 28 | 42 | 335 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 247 | -8.6 |
| 17 | @ KC | L 17-25 | -7.5 | 46 | 19 | 33 | 197 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 256 | 0.1 |
| 18 | vs CLE | W 31-14 | +7.5 | 37 | 18 | 24 | 156 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 105 | 2.5 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).