At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
100.5
▲ L5 113.2
Rec/g
7.5
▲ L5 9.6
Tgt/g
10.3
▲ L5 13.2
Rec TD/g
1.00
▼ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| 49.5 | 88% | 100% | 88% | 89% |
| 59.5 | 76% | 100% | 75% | 78% |
| 69.5 | 71% | 100% | 63% | 78% |
| 79.5 | 59% | 100% | 63% | 56% |
| 89.5 | 47% | 100% | 50% | 44% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| 4.5 | 88% | 100% | 100% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 76% | 100% | 100% | 56% |
| 6.5 | 53% | 80% | 50% | 56% |
| 7.5 | 41% | 80% | 38% | 44% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 71% | 100% | 88% | 56% |
| 8.5 | 59% | 80% | 63% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 53% | 80% | 50% | 56% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
30%
Air-yards share
46%
Rec EPA/game
2.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
94.4
8 g
Away
105.9
9 g
In wins
91.2
9 g
In losses
110.9
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs NE | L 10-16 | +8 | 40.5 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 0 | 38 | 24 | 21% |
| 2 | @ KC | L 25-26 | -6.5 | 47.5 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 23 | 16 | 15% |
| 3 | vs WAS | L 33-38 | +7.5 | 46 | 7 | 6 | 118 | 2 | 92 | 32 | 18% |
| 4 | @ CAR | W 34-24 | +4.5 | 47 | 6 | 3 | 85 | 1 | 51 | 64 | 20% |
| 5 | vs BAL | L 38-41 | -2.5 | 48.5 | 12 | 10 | 193 | 2 | 109 | 97 | 31% |
| 6 | @ NYG | W 17-7 | +4.5 | 46 | 6 | 5 | 72 | 0 | 52 | 32 | 26% |
| 7 | @ CLE | W 21-14 | +5.5 | 42 | 6 | 5 | 55 | 1 | 82 | 16 | 25% |
| 8 | vs PHI | L 17-37 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 11 | 9 | 54 | 1 | 86 | 21 | 31% |
| 9 | vs LV | W 41-24 | +8 | 45 | 11 | 7 | 43 | 0 | 29 | 46 | 30% |
| 10 | @ BAL | L 34-35 | -6 | 53 | 17 | 11 | 264 | 3 | 243 | 103 | 31% |
| 11 | @ LAC | L 27-34 | -1 | 48 | 13 | 7 | 75 | 2 | 149 | 30 | 28% |
| 13 | vs PIT | L 38-44 | +3 | 46 | 9 | 6 | 86 | 1 | 74 | 57 | 24% |
| 14 | @ DAL | W 27-20 | +5 | 51 | 18 | 14 | 177 | 2 | 163 | 82 | 42% |
| 15 | @ TEN | W 37-27 | +6 | 46.5 | 11 | 9 | 94 | 0 | 67 | 60 | 31% |
| 16 | vs CLE | W 24-6 | +10 | 46.5 | 8 | 6 | 97 | 1 | 70 | 42 | 29% |
| 17 | vs DEN | W 30-24 | +3.5 | 50.5 | 15 | 9 | 102 | 0 | 111 | 39 | 31% |
| 18 | @ PIT | W 19-17 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 14 | 10 | 96 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 30% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).