At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
76.0
▼ L5 60.4
Rec/g
6.3
▼ L5 5.0
Tgt/g
9.1
▼ L5 6.6
Rec TD/g
0.44
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 69% | 60% | 67% | 71% |
| 49.5 | 56% | 40% | 56% | 57% |
| 59.5 | 56% | 40% | 56% | 57% |
| 69.5 | 50% | 20% | 44% | 57% |
| 79.5 | 44% | 20% | 44% | 43% |
| 89.5 | 31% | 20% | 22% | 43% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 86% |
| 3.5 | 81% | 60% | 89% | 71% |
| 4.5 | 56% | 20% | 44% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 38% | 20% | 22% | 57% |
| 6.5 | 31% | 20% | 11% | 57% |
| 7.5 | 25% | 20% | 11% | 43% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 88% | 60% | 78% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 69% | 40% | 44% | 100% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 20% | 22% | 71% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 20% | 22% | 43% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
21%
Air-yards share
7%
Rec EPA/game
-2.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
67.8
9 g
Away
86.6
7 g
In wins
90.6
9 g
In losses
57.3
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ CLE | L 3-24 | +1 | 46.5 | 9 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 89 | 19 | 29% |
| 2 | vs BAL | L 24-27 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 36 | 25 | 21% |
| 3 | vs LA | W 19-16 | +3 | 45.5 | 15 | 12 | 141 | 0 | 142 | 60 | 33% |
| 4 | @ TEN | L 3-27 | +2.5 | 41.5 | 9 | 7 | 73 | 0 | 31 | 44 | 33% |
| 5 | @ ARI | W 34-20 | +3 | 45.5 | 19 | 15 | 192 | 3 | 154 | 86 | 43% |
| 6 | vs SEA | W 17-13 | +3 | 45.5 | 13 | 6 | 80 | 0 | 133 | 47 | 37% |
| 8 | @ SF | W 31-17 | -4 | 44 | 12 | 10 | 100 | 1 | 72 | 39 | 38% |
| 9 | vs BUF | W 24-18 | +1.5 | 51 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 97 | 19 | 19% |
| 10 | vs HOU | L 27-30 | +5.5 | 46 | 6 | 5 | 124 | 1 | 98 | 33 | 15% |
| 11 | @ BAL | L 20-34 | -4 | 46.5 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 95 | 15 | 23% |
| 12 | vs PIT | L 10-16 | -2 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 81 | 0 | 60 | 30 | 24% |
| 13 | @ JAX | W 34-31 | -10 | 41 | 12 | 11 | 149 | 1 | 65 | 89 | 32% |
| 14 | vs IND | W 34-14 | +3 | 45 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 39 | 6 | 16% |
| 15 | vs MIN | W 27-24 | +3 | 41.5 | 4 | 4 | 64 | 0 | 55 | 9 | 10% |
| 17 | @ KC | L 17-25 | -7.5 | 46 | 7 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 81 | 5 | 23% |
| 18 | vs CLE | W 31-14 | +7.5 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 21% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).