At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
86.8
▲ L5 99.4
Rec/g
5.0
▲ L5 5.2
Tgt/g
7.8
▼ L5 7.6
Rec TD/g
0.67
▲ L5 1.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 76% | 60% | 91% | 60% |
| 49.5 | 71% | 60% | 82% | 60% |
| 59.5 | 57% | 60% | 73% | 40% |
| 69.5 | 52% | 60% | 73% | 30% |
| 79.5 | 43% | 40% | 55% | 30% |
| 89.5 | 38% | 40% | 45% | 30% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 86% | 60% | 100% | 70% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 60% | 91% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 62% | 60% | 91% | 30% |
| 5.5 | 38% | 40% | 55% | 20% |
| 6.5 | 19% | 40% | 27% | 10% |
| 7.5 | 14% | 20% | 18% | 10% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 81% | 60% | 91% | 70% |
| 6.5 | 62% | 60% | 91% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 40% | 55% | 30% |
| 10.5 | 14% | 20% | 27% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
14%
Air-yards share
12%
Rec EPA/game
-0.7
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
104.5
11 g
Away
67.3
10 g
In wins
98.8
13 g
In losses
67.3
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs LV | W 26-19 | +6 | 48.5 | 12 | 9 | 116 | 0 | 155 | 17 | 38% |
| 20* | @ TEN | W 19-16 | -4 | 48.5 | 6 | 5 | 109 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 17% |
| 21* | @ KC | W 27-24 | -7 | 54.5 | 9 | 6 | 54 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 25% |
| 22* | vs LA | L 20-23 | -4.5 | 48.5 | 8 | 5 | 89 | 0 | 93 | 36 | 24% |
| 1 | vs MIN | W 27-24 | -3 | 47 | 7 | 5 | 101 | 1 | 114 | 36 | 27% |
| 2 | @ CHI | L 17-20 | -2 | 44.5 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 1 | 82 | 14 | 14% |
| 3 | @ PIT | W 24-10 | -2.5 | 42.5 | 5 | 4 | 65 | 2 | 68 | 4 | 28% |
| 4 | vs JAX | W 24-21 | +7.5 | 46 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 0 | 92 | 22 | 28% |
| 5 | vs GB | L 22-25 | -2 | 50 | 10 | 6 | 159 | 1 | 185 | 54 | 27% |
| 6 | @ DET | W 34-11 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 6 | 4 | 97 | 0 | 102 | 22 | 21% |
| 7 | @ BAL | W 41-17 | -6.5 | 45.5 | 10 | 8 | 201 | 1 | 117 | 115 | 28% |
| 8 | @ NYJ | L 31-34 | +11.5 | 43.5 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 29 | 22 | 26% |
| 9 | vs CLE | L 16-41 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 13 | 6 | 49 | 0 | 172 | 26 | 32% |
| 11 | @ LV | W 32-13 | +1 | 50.5 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 125 | 8 | 21% |
| 12 | vs PIT | W 41-10 | +3.5 | 43.5 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 13% |
| 13 | vs LAC | L 22-41 | +2.5 | 49.5 | 8 | 5 | 52 | 0 | 81 | 22 | 21% |
| 14 | vs SF | L 23-26 | -2.5 | 49 | 8 | 5 | 77 | 2 | 118 | 16 | 24% |
| 15 | @ DEN | W 15-10 | -3 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 19% |
| 16 | vs BAL | W 41-21 | +7.5 | 43 | 10 | 7 | 125 | 0 | 96 | 76 | 22% |
| 17 | vs KC | W 34-31 | -3.5 | 51 | 12 | 11 | 266 | 3 | 146 | 153 | 32% |
| 18 | @ CLE | L 16-21 | -6.5 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 20 | 29 | 14% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).