At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rush yds/g
73.3
▼ L5 56.2
Carries/g
17.9
▼ L5 16.8
Scrim yds/g
94.4
▼ L5 80.6
Rec/g
3.0
▲ L5 3.2
Tgt/g
3.5
▲ L5 3.6
TD/g
0.85
▼ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Rushing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 90% | 100% | 91% | 89% |
| 49.5 | 80% | 80% | 73% | 89% |
| 59.5 | 55% | 20% | 55% | 56% |
| 69.5 | 35% | 0% | 27% | 44% |
| 79.5 | 30% | 0% | 18% | 44% |
| 89.5 | 25% | 0% | 18% | 33% |
Rush + rec yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.5 | 85% | 80% | 82% | 89% |
| 74.5 | 60% | 40% | 55% | 67% |
| 89.5 | 50% | 20% | 36% | 67% |
| 104.5 | 40% | 20% | 36% | 44% |
| 119.5 | 25% | 20% | 27% | 22% |
Carries
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5 | 95% | 100% | 91% | 100% |
| 14.5 | 70% | 80% | 73% | 67% |
| 17.5 | 50% | 60% | 45% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 20% | 0% | 18% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 60% | 60% | 73% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 55% | 40% | 64% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 40% | 64% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 40% | 36% | 22% |
Rushing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
21%
Air-yards share
-3%
Rec EPA/game
-0.6
Splits
Rushing yards per game.
Home
72.6
11 g
Away
74.2
9 g
In wins
83.4
13 g
In losses
54.7
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs LV | W 26-19 | +6 | 48.5 | 17 | 48 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 0 |
| 20* | @ TEN | W 19-16 | -4 | 48.5 | 14 | 54 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 0 |
| 21* | @ KC | W 27-24 | -7 | 54.5 | 21 | 88 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 |
| 22* | vs LA | L 20-23 | -4.5 | 48.5 | 15 | 72 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 1 | vs MIN | W 27-24 | -3 | 47 | 29 | 127 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 0 |
| 2 | @ CHI | L 17-20 | -2 | 44.5 | 20 | 69 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | @ PIT | W 24-10 | -2.5 | 42.5 | 18 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 4 | vs JAX | W 24-21 | +7.5 | 46 | 16 | 67 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | vs GB | L 22-25 | -2 | 50 | 10 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | @ DET | W 34-11 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 18 | 94 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 1 |
| 7 | @ BAL | W 41-17 | -6.5 | 45.5 | 12 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | @ NYJ | L 31-34 | +11.5 | 43.5 | 14 | 33 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 1 |
| 9 | vs CLE | L 16-41 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 13 | 64 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 | @ LV | W 32-13 | +1 | 50.5 | 30 | 123 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | vs PIT | W 41-10 | +3.5 | 43.5 | 28 | 165 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | vs LAC | L 22-41 | +2.5 | 49.5 | 19 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | vs SF | L 23-26 | -2.5 | 49 | 18 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 | @ DEN | W 15-10 | -3 | 45 | 17 | 58 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | vs BAL | W 41-21 | +7.5 | 43 | 18 | 65 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 70 | 1 |
| 17 | vs KC | W 34-31 | -3.5 | 51 | 12 | 46 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).