At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
243.4
▲ L5 258.6
Pass TD/g
1.95
▲ L5 2.00
Comp/g
21.5
▲ L5 24.4
Att/g
33.4
▲ L5 34.2
INT/g
0.68
▼ L5 0.20
Rush yds/g
13.1
▼ L5 3.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 79% | 100% | 100% | 64% |
| 224.5 | 68% | 60% | 100% | 45% |
| 249.5 | 47% | 60% | 63% | 36% |
| 274.5 | 21% | 40% | 38% | 9% |
| 299.5 | 11% | 20% | 25% | 0% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 100% | 100% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 68% | 80% | 50% | 82% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 20% | 13% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 74% | 80% | 100% | 55% |
| 19.5 | 74% | 80% | 100% | 55% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 80% | 88% | 27% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 80% | 63% | 18% |
| 25.5 | 16% | 40% | 38% | 0% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 42% | 20% | 38% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 0% | 13% | 27% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
15.1
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
268.9
8 g
Away
224.9
11 g
In wins
265.2
10 g
In losses
219.2
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ DAL | W 48-32 | -7 | 52.5 | 16 | 21 | 272 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 23.9 |
| 20* | @ SF | L 21-24 | -10.5 | 50.5 | 21 | 34 | 194 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 191 | -1.2 |
| 1 | @ CHI | W 38-20 | -1 | 41 | 15 | 27 | 245 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 275 | 17.8 |
| 2 | @ ATL | L 24-25 | -3 | 40.5 | 14 | 25 | 151 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 2.6 |
| 3 | vs NO | W 18-17 | -1.5 | 41.5 | 22 | 44 | 259 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 522 | -3.0 |
| 4 | vs DET | L 20-34 | -2.5 | 45 | 23 | 36 | 246 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 343 | -12.7 |
| 5 | @ LV | L 13-17 | -1 | 45 | 16 | 30 | 182 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 239 | -14.8 |
| 7 | @ DEN | L 17-19 | -1.5 | 44 | 21 | 31 | 180 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 7.6 |
| 8 | vs MIN | L 10-24 | -1 | 41.5 | 24 | 41 | 229 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 372 | -7.9 |
| 9 | vs LA | W 20-3 | +3.5 | 38 | 20 | 26 | 228 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 173 | 8.1 |
| 10 | @ PIT | L 19-23 | -3 | 38.5 | 21 | 40 | 289 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 395 | 5.2 |
| 11 | vs LAC | W 23-20 | -3 | 44 | 27 | 40 | 322 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 263 | 10.8 |
| 12 | @ DET | W 29-22 | -8.5 | 47 | 22 | 32 | 268 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 302 | 12.8 |
| 13 | vs KC | W 27-19 | -5.5 | 43.5 | 25 | 36 | 267 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 272 | 15.4 |
| 14 | @ NYG | L 22-24 | +6 | 37.5 | 25 | 39 | 218 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 231 | -0.2 |
| 15 | vs TB | L 20-34 | +4 | 41.5 | 29 | 39 | 284 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 247 | 3.9 |
| 16 | @ CAR | W 33-30 | +3.5 | 39.5 | 17 | 28 | 219 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 11.3 |
| 17 | @ MIN | W 33-10 | -1 | 42.5 | 24 | 33 | 256 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 323 | 14.0 |
| 18 | vs CHI | W 17-9 | +2.5 | 45.5 | 27 | 32 | 316 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 15.1 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).