At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
57.4
▼ L5 47.2
Rec/g
5.1
▼ L5 4.4
Tgt/g
7.6
▼ L5 7.2
Rec TD/g
0.36
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 64% | 40% | 57% | 71% |
| 49.5 | 64% | 40% | 57% | 71% |
| 59.5 | 64% | 40% | 57% | 71% |
| 69.5 | 36% | 20% | 43% | 29% |
| 79.5 | 29% | 20% | 29% | 29% |
| 89.5 | 14% | 20% | 14% | 14% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 93% | 100% | 86% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 20% | 43% | 71% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 20% | 43% | 57% |
| 5.5 | 43% | 20% | 43% | 43% |
| 6.5 | 36% | 20% | 43% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 21% | 20% | 29% | 14% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 79% | 60% | 71% | 86% |
| 6.5 | 64% | 60% | 57% | 71% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 20% | 43% | 57% |
| 10.5 | 14% | 20% | 14% | 14% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
33%
Air-yards share
18%
Rec EPA/game
3.5
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
51.6
7 g
Away
63.1
7 g
In wins
58.9
7 g
In losses
55.9
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs CHI | W 21-16 | +1.5 | 43 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 19 | 28% |
| 4 | vs PIT | W 27-24 | -2.5 | 40 | 9 | 8 | 82 | 1 | 60 | 36 | 32% |
| 5 | @ JAX | L 34-37 | -3.5 | 45 | 12 | 9 | 69 | 0 | 83 | 13 | 27% |
| 6 | @ TEN | W 20-17 | -2.5 | 42 | 9 | 7 | 66 | 1 | 36 | 35 | 25% |
| 7 | vs MIA | W 16-10 | +3 | 44 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 14% |
| 8 | @ HOU | L 20-23 | -5 | 45 | 9 | 4 | 109 | 1 | 102 | 55 | 29% |
| 9 | @ MIN | L 13-21 | -6.5 | 47 | 9 | 6 | 60 | 0 | 68 | 26 | 33% |
| 10 | vs BUF | L 20-30 | -4.5 | 46.5 | 10 | 7 | 72 | 0 | 75 | 21 | 29% |
| 11 | @ NYJ | W 28-27 | -4 | 43 | 5 | 5 | 84 | 1 | 72 | 12 | 18% |
| 12 | vs DET | L 6-24 | -7 | 50.5 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 58 | 26 | 28% |
| 15 | @ DEN | L 13-31 | -4.5 | 43.5 | 8 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 70 | 15 | 22% |
| 16 | vs TEN | W 38-30 | +4 | 42.5 | 4 | 3 | 61 | 1 | -3 | 68 | 36% |
| 17 | @ NYG | L 33-45 | +7.5 | 40.5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 26 | 7 | 11% |
| 18 | vs JAX | W 26-23 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 13 | 10 | 94 | 0 | 67 | 57 | 33% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).