At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
45.4
▼ L5 38.2
Rec/g
4.0
▼ L5 3.4
Tgt/g
5.8
▼ L5 4.0
Rec TD/g
0.12
▼ L5 0.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 47% | 40% | 67% | 25% |
| 49.5 | 29% | 20% | 44% | 13% |
| 59.5 | 18% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 69.5 | 18% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 79.5 | 12% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 12% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 80% | 78% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 20% | 44% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 20% | 44% | 38% |
| 5.5 | 24% | 20% | 22% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 0% | 11% | 13% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 59% | 20% | 56% | 63% |
| 6.5 | 35% | 20% | 33% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 24% | 20% | 22% | 25% |
| 10.5 | 12% | 0% | 11% | 13% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
13%
Air-yards share
10%
Rec EPA/game
3.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
57.9
9 g
Away
31.3
8 g
In wins
41.1
9 g
In losses
50.1
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs JAX | L 21-31 | -4 | 45.5 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 20 | 23 | 18% |
| 2 | @ HOU | W 31-20 | +1 | 40 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 26 | 16 | 16% |
| 3 | @ BAL | W 22-19 | -7.5 | 43.5 | 12 | 8 | 57 | 0 | 72 | 30 | 29% |
| 4 | vs LA | L 23-29 | -1 | 44.5 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 53 | 4 | 13% |
| 5 | vs TEN | W 23-16 | -2.5 | 43.5 | 6 | 6 | 97 | 0 | 54 | 43 | 25% |
| 6 | @ JAX | L 20-37 | -4 | 44 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 39 | 1 | 15% |
| 7 | vs CLE | L 38-39 | -3.5 | 40 | 6 | 5 | 125 | 1 | 97 | 65 | 27% |
| 8 | vs NO | L 27-38 | -2 | 43.5 | 9 | 7 | 72 | 0 | 68 | 26 | 24% |
| 9 | @ CAR | W 27-13 | +1.5 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4% |
| 10 | @ NE | W 10-6 | +1 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 0 | 58 | 11 | 12% |
| 12 | vs TB | W 27-20 | +2.5 | 45 | 13 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 51 | 33 | 33% |
| 13 | @ TEN | W 31-28 | +1.5 | 42 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 12% |
| 14 | @ CIN | L 14-34 | -3 | 45 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8% |
| 15 | vs PIT | W 30-13 | +1.5 | 41.5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 11% |
| 16 | @ ATL | L 10-29 | -3 | 44 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 80 | 21 | 26% |
| 17 | vs LV | W 23-20 | +3.5 | 42.5 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 0 | 25 | 28 | 10% |
| 18 | vs HOU | L 19-23 | -1.5 | 47.5 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 24 | 24 | 13% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).