At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
53.8
▼ L5 49.0
Rec/g
4.6
▲ L5 5.2
Tgt/g
5.9
▲ L5 6.0
Rec TD/g
0.16
▲ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 47% | 40% | 20% | 78% |
| 49.5 | 42% | 40% | 20% | 67% |
| 59.5 | 37% | 40% | 20% | 56% |
| 69.5 | 37% | 40% | 20% | 56% |
| 79.5 | 26% | 20% | 20% | 33% |
| 89.5 | 11% | 0% | 10% | 11% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 74% | 60% | 60% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 40% | 20% | 78% |
| 4.5 | 47% | 40% | 20% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 32% | 40% | 10% | 56% |
| 6.5 | 26% | 40% | 10% | 44% |
| 7.5 | 16% | 40% | 10% | 22% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 53% | 40% | 30% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 47% | 40% | 20% | 78% |
| 8.5 | 21% | 40% | 10% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 11% | 20% | 10% | 11% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
8%
Air-yards share
10%
Rec EPA/game
2.5
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
39.9
10 g
Away
69.2
9 g
In wins
49.1
16 g
In losses
79.0
3 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs JAX | W 27-20 | +10 | 52.5 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6% |
| 21* | vs CIN | W 23-20 | +2 | 48.5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2% |
| 22* | @ PHI | W 38-35 | -1 | 51 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 0 | 55 | 15 | 36% |
| 1 | @ ARI | W 44-21 | +6 | 54 | 8 | 6 | 79 | 0 | 82 | 25 | 21% |
| 2 | vs LAC | W 27-24 | +4 | 52.5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9% |
| 3 | @ IND | L 17-20 | +4.5 | 51 | 8 | 5 | 89 | 0 | 113 | 53 | 24% |
| 4 | @ TB | W 41-31 | -1 | 46.5 | 8 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 40 | 37 | 24% |
| 5 | vs LV | W 30-29 | +7.5 | 51.5 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 60 | 12 | 19% |
| 6 | vs BUF | L 20-24 | -2.5 | 54 | 5 | 5 | 113 | 1 | 35 | 78 | 14% |
| 7 | @ SF | W 44-23 | +1 | 49 | 8 | 7 | 124 | 1 | 73 | 63 | 24% |
| 9 | vs TEN | W 20-17 | +14 | 45 | 12 | 10 | 88 | 0 | 72 | 36 | 19% |
| 10 | vs JAX | W 27-17 | +10 | 51.5 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 46 | 3 | 11% |
| 12 | vs LA | W 26-10 | +16.5 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 24 | 14 | 8% |
| 13 | @ CIN | L 24-27 | +2.5 | 53 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 26 | 29 | 17% |
| 14 | @ DEN | W 34-28 | +8.5 | 44.5 | 11 | 9 | 74 | 1 | 62 | 35 | 26% |
| 15 | @ HOU | W 30-24 | +14.5 | 48.5 | 10 | 10 | 88 | 0 | 68 | 20 | 24% |
| 16 | vs SEA | W 24-10 | +10.5 | 50.5 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 15% |
| 17 | vs DEN | W 27-24 | +13.5 | 46 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 16 | 15 | 7% |
| 18 | @ LV | W 31-13 | +9 | 51.5 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 24 | 11 | 8% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).