At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
228.4
▲ L5 263.8
Pass TD/g
1.33
▲ L5 2.00
Comp/g
19.2
▲ L5 23.8
Att/g
29.8
▲ L5 33.6
INT/g
0.39
▲ L5 0.40
Rush yds/g
17.0
▲ L5 18.8
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 61% | 80% | 50% | 70% |
| 224.5 | 50% | 60% | 38% | 60% |
| 249.5 | 39% | 60% | 38% | 40% |
| 274.5 | 39% | 60% | 38% | 40% |
| 299.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 100% | 88% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 80% | 50% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 56% | 100% | 50% | 60% |
| 19.5 | 50% | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| 21.5 | 22% | 60% | 13% | 30% |
| 23.5 | 17% | 40% | 0% | 30% |
| 25.5 | 17% | 40% | 0% | 30% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 22% | 40% | 25% | 20% |
| 1.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
16.7
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
220.0
8 g
Away
235.2
10 g
In wins
235.5
11 g
In losses
217.3
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ HOU | L 12-32 | +3 | 41.5 | 14 | 32 | 242 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 405 | -23.1 |
| 1 | vs LV | W 22-10 | +3 | 41 | 17 | 26 | 144 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 163 | -4.9 |
| 2 | @ CAR | W 26-3 | +5 | 39 | 14 | 20 | 130 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 141 | 1.4 |
| 3 | @ PIT | L 10-20 | -3 | 36 | 12 | 18 | 125 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 172 | 1.6 |
| 4 | vs KC | L 10-17 | -7.5 | 41.5 | 16 | 27 | 179 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 193 | -2.0 |
| 6 | @ DEN | W 23-16 | +3 | 37 | 21 | 34 | 237 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 283 | 8.1 |
| 7 | @ ARI | L 15-17 | +1 | 44 | 27 | 39 | 349 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 336 | 13.3 |
| 8 | vs NO | W 26-8 | +7 | 41.5 | 20 | 32 | 279 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 245 | 2.1 |
| 9 | @ CLE | W 27-10 | +2 | 42.5 | 18 | 27 | 282 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 270 | 1.3 |
| 10 | vs TEN | W 27-17 | +8 | 40 | 14 | 18 | 164 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 9.7 |
| 11 | vs CIN | W 34-27 | +1 | 48 | 17 | 36 | 297 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 463 | 2.0 |
| 12 | vs BAL | L 23-30 | -3 | 51 | 21 | 36 | 218 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 367 | -1.8 |
| 13 | @ ATL | W 17-13 | +1 | 47 | 16 | 23 | 147 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 170 | -6.3 |
| 14 | @ KC | L 17-19 | -5 | 43.5 | 21 | 30 | 213 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 304 | 8.2 |
| 15 | vs TB | L 17-40 | +3 | 46 | 21 | 33 | 195 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 270 | -11.3 |
| 16 | vs DEN | W 34-27 | +3 | 41.5 | 23 | 31 | 284 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 210 | 11.3 |
| 17 | @ NE | W 40-7 | +6 | 42 | 26 | 38 | 281 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 365 | 19.6 |
| 18 | @ LV | W 34-20 | +7 | 42.5 | 28 | 36 | 346 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 16.7 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).