At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
241.1
▼ L5 221.6
Pass TD/g
1.54
▼ L5 1.40
Comp/g
22.8
▼ L5 21.6
Att/g
35.1
▼ L5 34.8
INT/g
0.54
▲ L5 0.60
Rush yds/g
17.5
▲ L5 26.0
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 77% | 80% | 71% | 83% |
| 224.5 | 62% | 40% | 57% | 67% |
| 249.5 | 46% | 40% | 29% | 67% |
| 274.5 | 31% | 20% | 29% | 33% |
| 299.5 | 23% | 20% | 14% | 33% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 60% | 86% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 40% | 43% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 20% | 29% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 20% | 14% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 69% | 80% | 71% | 67% |
| 19.5 | 69% | 80% | 71% | 67% |
| 21.5 | 62% | 60% | 71% | 50% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 40% | 43% | 33% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 40% | 43% | 33% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 46% | 60% | 71% | 17% |
| 1.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
-19.5
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
222.4
7 g
Away
262.8
6 g
In wins
243.6
5 g
In losses
239.5
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs MIA | L 34-36 | +3 | 50.5 | 23 | 33 | 229 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 234 | -1.2 |
| 2 | @ TEN | L 24-27 | +2.5 | 45.5 | 27 | 41 | 305 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 441 | 9.3 |
| 3 | @ MIN | W 28-24 | -1 | 54 | 40 | 47 | 405 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 319 | 21.5 |
| 4 | vs LV | W 24-17 | +7 | 49 | 13 | 24 | 167 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 289 | -3.7 |
| 6 | vs DAL | L 17-20 | -1.5 | 49.5 | 22 | 37 | 227 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 256 | -0.2 |
| 7 | @ KC | L 17-31 | -5.5 | 48.5 | 17 | 30 | 259 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 324 | 0.5 |
| 8 | vs CHI | W 30-13 | +9.5 | 46 | 31 | 40 | 298 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 17.1 |
| 9 | @ NYJ | W 27-6 | +3 | 41 | 16 | 30 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 160 | -6.6 |
| 10 | vs DET | L 38-41 | -2.5 | 48.5 | 27 | 40 | 323 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 14.6 |
| 11 | @ GB | L 20-23 | +3 | 44 | 21 | 36 | 260 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 346 | 5.1 |
| 12 | vs BAL | L 10-20 | -3 | 49 | 29 | 44 | 217 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 298 | -11.9 |
| 13 | @ NE | W 6-0 | +4.5 | 38.5 | 22 | 37 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 2.0 |
| 14 | vs DEN | L 7-24 | +3 | 45 | 9 | 17 | 96 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 107 | -19.5 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).