At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
278.4
▲ L5 280.0
Pass TD/g
1.44
▼ L5 1.00
Comp/g
27.9
▼ L5 27.4
Att/g
41.2
▼ L5 37.8
INT/g
0.56
▲ L5 0.60
Rush yds/g
8.8
▼ L5 2.4
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 90% |
| 224.5 | 89% | 80% | 88% | 90% |
| 249.5 | 67% | 60% | 75% | 60% |
| 274.5 | 50% | 40% | 75% | 30% |
| 299.5 | 28% | 40% | 25% | 30% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 60% | 75% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 13% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 19.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 21.5 | 89% | 80% | 88% | 90% |
| 23.5 | 78% | 80% | 75% | 80% |
| 25.5 | 56% | 40% | 63% | 50% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 50% | 40% | 63% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 6% | 20% | 13% | 0% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
3%
Air-yards share
-3%
Pass EPA/game
15.4
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
284.9
8 g
Away
273.3
10 g
In wins
273.1
10 g
In losses
285.1
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ JAX | L 30-31 | +2 | 46.5 | 25 | 43 | 273 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 239 | 7.6 |
| 1 | vs LV | W 24-19 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 26 | 34 | 279 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 14.9 |
| 2 | @ KC | L 24-27 | -4 | 52.5 | 33 | 48 | 334 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 251 | -0.9 |
| 3 | vs JAX | L 10-38 | +6.5 | 46 | 25 | 45 | 297 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 352 | -9.1 |
| 4 | @ HOU | W 34-24 | +5.5 | 45 | 27 | 39 | 340 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 16.7 |
| 5 | @ CLE | W 30-28 | +1 | 47 | 22 | 34 | 228 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 177 | 4.4 |
| 6 | vs DEN | W 19-16 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 37 | 57 | 238 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 337 | -15.7 |
| 7 | vs SEA | L 23-37 | +5.5 | 51.5 | 33 | 51 | 293 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 321 | -10.4 |
| 9 | @ ATL | W 20-17 | +2.5 | 49.5 | 30 | 43 | 245 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 5.0 |
| 10 | @ SF | L 16-22 | -8.5 | 45.5 | 21 | 35 | 196 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 216 | -6.7 |
| 11 | vs KC | L 27-30 | -5.5 | 52.5 | 23 | 30 | 280 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 243 | 6.7 |
| 12 | @ ARI | W 25-24 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 35 | 47 | 274 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 176 | 2.1 |
| 13 | @ LV | L 20-27 | -2.5 | 49 | 28 | 47 | 335 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 375 | -0.5 |
| 14 | vs MIA | W 23-17 | -3 | 54.5 | 39 | 51 | 367 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 276 | 1.7 |
| 15 | vs TEN | W 17-14 | +3 | 46.5 | 28 | 42 | 313 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 326 | -7.5 |
| 16 | @ IND | W 20-3 | +3.5 | 44.5 | 24 | 31 | 235 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 238 | -3.0 |
| 17 | vs LA | W 31-10 | +6.5 | 41.5 | 21 | 28 | 212 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 10.2 |
| 18 | @ DEN | L 28-31 | -6 | 38.5 | 25 | 37 | 273 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 15.4 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).