At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
88.4
▲ L5 99.0
Rec/g
6.0
▲ L5 7.0
Tgt/g
9.0
▲ L5 10.8
Rec TD/g
0.56
▲ L5 1.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| 49.5 | 89% | 100% | 100% | 78% |
| 59.5 | 72% | 80% | 100% | 44% |
| 69.5 | 72% | 80% | 100% | 44% |
| 79.5 | 67% | 60% | 89% | 44% |
| 89.5 | 44% | 60% | 67% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 89% | 80% | 100% | 78% |
| 4.5 | 78% | 80% | 89% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 67% | 80% | 89% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 44% | 80% | 67% | 22% |
| 7.5 | 17% | 40% | 11% | 22% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 89% | 100% | 100% | 78% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 80% | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 60% | 33% | 11% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
24%
Air-yards share
20%
Rec EPA/game
-2.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
102.2
9 g
Away
74.6
9 g
In wins
91.6
14 g
In losses
77.0
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ LA | L 9-27 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 149 | 11 | 20% |
| 1 | @ NYG | W 28-6 | +1 | 42.5 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 1 | 63 | 19 | 26% |
| 2 | vs SF | W 23-17 | -4.5 | 46.5 | 7 | 4 | 133 | 1 | 115 | 60 | 29% |
| 3 | vs HOU | W 34-7 | -2 | 46 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 1 | 78 | 13 | 32% |
| 4 | @ GB | W 31-29 | -2.5 | 44 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 1 | 101 | 28 | 30% |
| 5 | vs NYJ | W 23-17 | +2.5 | 42 | 14 | 6 | 92 | 0 | 214 | 14 | 50% |
| 7 | vs DET | L 29-31 | +1 | 50.5 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 | 73 | 27 | 31% |
| 8 | @ LA | L 20-30 | +3 | 47.5 | 9 | 8 | 115 | 0 | 103 | 17 | 39% |
| 9 | vs IND | W 21-13 | +6.5 | 47 | 9 | 7 | 137 | 0 | 132 | 35 | 27% |
| 10 | @ JAX | W 12-7 | +7 | 42.5 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 75 | 17 | 24% |
| 11 | @ TEN | W 23-13 | +6 | 40 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 0 | 72 | 17 | 27% |
| 12 | @ CHI | W 30-27 | +3 | 39.5 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 63 | 11 | 16% |
| 13 | vs ARI | W 23-22 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 9 | 7 | 99 | 0 | 57 | 47 | 30% |
| 14 | vs ATL | W 42-21 | +6 | 46.5 | 7 | 7 | 132 | 2 | 108 | 24 | 25% |
| 15 | vs CHI | W 30-12 | +7 | 43.5 | 14 | 7 | 73 | 1 | 159 | 37 | 38% |
| 16 | @ SEA | W 27-24 | +2.5 | 43 | 13 | 10 | 144 | 2 | 155 | 30 | 37% |
| 17 | vs GB | W 27-25 | -1 | 49 | 11 | 8 | 92 | 0 | 58 | 61 | 27% |
| 18 | @ DET | L 9-31 | -3 | 56.5 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 0 | 56 | 30 | 24% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).