Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson

Minnesota Vikings · WR · Yr 3

6-1195 lbLSUDraft R1 P22 (2020)

At a glance

Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.

Rec yds/g

103.1

L5 106.4

Rec/g

7.5

L5 8.0

Tgt/g

10.7

L5 11.4

Rec TD/g

0.44

L5 0.40

Prop hit rates

How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.

Receiving yards

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
39.578%60%80%75%
49.561%60%60%63%
59.561%60%60%63%
69.561%60%60%63%
79.561%60%60%63%
89.561%60%60%63%

Receptions

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
2.594%80%100%88%
3.583%80%80%88%
4.578%60%80%75%
5.578%60%80%75%
6.561%60%70%50%
7.544%60%50%38%

Targets

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
4.5100%100%100%100%
6.578%60%80%75%
8.567%60%70%63%
10.561%60%60%63%

Receiving yards · game by game

Usage & efficiency

Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.

Target share

16%

Air-yards share

14%

Rec EPA/game

1.0

Splits

Receiving yards per game.

Home

97.0

10 g

Away

110.8

8 g

In wins

114.6

13 g

In losses

73.2

5 g

Game log

Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.

WkOppResultSpreadTotalTgtRecYdsTDAirYdYACTgt%
19*vs NYGL 24-31+2.5489747099723%
1vs GBW 23-7+2.54711918421188135%
2@ PHIL 7-24-2.549.51264801051927%
3vs DETW 28-24+6.5526314032716%
4@ NOW 28-25+442131014701265137%
5vs CHIW 29-22+104413121540926133%
6@ MIAW 24-16+345861070417029%
8vs ARIW 34-26+448.586980854326%
9@ WASW 20-17+343.513711511692833%
10@ BUFW 33-30-6.547161019312113232%
11vs DALL 3-40-1.548.55333066718%
12vs NEW 33-26+2.542.511913911084030%
13vs NYJW 27-22+344117451137333%
14@ DETL 23-34-2.551.5151122302305638%
15vs INDW 39-36+3.546.516121231995330%
16vs NYGW 27-24+4.548161213311514534%
17@ GBL 17-41-347.55115060114%
18@ CHIW 29-13+6.542.554380371616%

* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).