At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
107.4
▼ L5 100.6
Rec/g
6.8
▼ L5 6.4
Tgt/g
10.0
▼ L5 9.4
Rec TD/g
0.50
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| 49.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| 59.5 | 70% | 60% | 60% | 80% |
| 69.5 | 70% | 60% | 60% | 80% |
| 79.5 | 70% | 60% | 60% | 80% |
| 89.5 | 50% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 90% | 80% | 100% | 80% |
| 3.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| 4.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| 5.5 | 70% | 60% | 60% | 80% |
| 6.5 | 50% | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| 7.5 | 30% | 20% | 20% | 40% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 90% | 80% | 100% | 80% |
| 6.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| 8.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 40% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
33%
Air-yards share
47%
Rec EPA/game
10.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
105.4
5 g
Away
109.4
5 g
In wins
56.0
2 g
In losses
120.3
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs TB | L 17-20 | +4 | 45 | 12 | 9 | 150 | 0 | 115 | 67 | 27% |
| 2 | @ PHI | L 28-34 | -6 | 49 | 13 | 11 | 159 | 0 | 135 | 36 | 30% |
| 3 | vs LAC | L 24-28 | +1 | 54 | 13 | 7 | 149 | 1 | 162 | 65 | 27% |
| 4 | @ CAR | W 21-13 | +4.5 | 46.5 | 9 | 6 | 85 | 2 | 109 | 4 | 50% |
| 5 | vs KC | L 20-27 | -3.5 | 52.5 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 45 | 10 | 13% |
| 14 | @ LV | W 3-0 | +3 | 40.5 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 9% |
| 15 | @ CIN | L 24-27 | -3 | 41.5 | 10 | 7 | 84 | 0 | 128 | 9 | 31% |
| 16 | vs DET | L 24-30 | -2.5 | 47.5 | 10 | 6 | 141 | 1 | 222 | 18 | 29% |
| 17 | vs GB | L 10-33 | +1 | 42.5 | 10 | 5 | 59 | 0 | 121 | 7 | 32% |
| 18 | @ DET | L 20-30 | -3.5 | 47.5 | 14 | 12 | 192 | 1 | 189 | 44 | 33% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).