At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
28.3
▲ L5 45.2
Rec/g
2.8
▲ L5 3.8
Tgt/g
4.5
▲ L5 5.4
Rec TD/g
0.31
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 31% | 60% | 17% | 43% |
| 49.5 | 8% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
| 59.5 | 8% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
| 69.5 | 8% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
| 79.5 | 8% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
| 89.5 | 8% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 46% | 60% | 50% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 31% | 40% | 17% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 20% | 17% | 14% |
| 5.5 | 8% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
| 6.5 | 8% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
| 7.5 | 8% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 38% | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| 6.5 | 23% | 40% | 0% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 8% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
| 10.5 | 8% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
12%
Air-yards share
8%
Rec EPA/game
5.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
25.5
6 g
Away
30.7
7 g
In wins
32.6
8 g
In losses
21.4
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs TEN | W 16-15 | +3 | 41 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 45 | 19 | 15% |
| 2 | @ CAR | W 20-17 | +3 | 39.5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 9% |
| 3 | @ GB | L 17-18 | +1.5 | 41.5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 12% |
| 8 | @ IND | W 38-27 | +2 | 43.5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7% |
| 9 | vs CHI | W 24-17 | +9 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 16% |
| 10 | @ MIN | L 19-27 | +3 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 8% |
| 12 | @ ATL | L 15-24 | +2 | 42 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 59 | 12 | 19% |
| 13 | vs DET | L 28-33 | -4 | 47.5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 10% |
| 14 | vs CAR | W 28-6 | +5.5 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 14% |
| 15 | vs NYG | W 24-6 | +6 | 39.5 | 2 | 2 | 38 | 1 | 36 | 2 | 7% |
| 16 | @ LA | L 22-30 | -4 | 45.5 | 7 | 4 | 48 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 18% |
| 17 | @ TB | W 23-13 | -2.5 | 42.5 | 12 | 8 | 90 | 1 | 84 | 44 | 35% |
| 18 | vs ATL | W 48-17 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 12% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).