At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
55.3
▼ L5 44.4
Rec/g
5.2
▼ L5 4.0
Tgt/g
6.7
▲ L5 6.8
Rec TD/g
0.22
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 72% | 20% | 70% | 75% |
| 49.5 | 61% | 20% | 60% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 44% | 20% | 50% | 38% |
| 69.5 | 22% | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| 79.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| 89.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 89% | 80% | 90% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 78% | 60% | 70% | 88% |
| 4.5 | 67% | 40% | 60% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 56% | 20% | 60% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 0% | 20% | 13% |
| 7.5 | 11% | 0% | 10% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 89% | 100% | 90% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 56% | 60% | 50% | 63% |
| 8.5 | 17% | 0% | 10% | 25% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
22%
Air-yards share
11%
Rec EPA/game
-0.5
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
50.4
10 g
Away
61.4
8 g
In wins
52.1
15 g
In losses
71.3
3 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs DEN | W 31-7 | +7.5 | 48.5 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 24% |
| 20* | vs BAL | W 27-25 | -1.5 | 51.5 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 0 | 50 | 24 | 33% |
| 21* | @ KC | L 29-32 | -1.5 | 49.5 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 41 | 26 | 23% |
| 1 | vs ARI | W 34-28 | +6.5 | 46 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 13% |
| 2 | @ MIA | W 31-10 | -2.5 | 48.5 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 43 | 11 | 28% |
| 3 | vs JAX | W 47-10 | +4 | 46.5 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 1 | -4 | 76 | 20% |
| 4 | @ BAL | L 10-35 | -2.5 | 46.5 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 48 | 24 | 19% |
| 6 | @ NYJ | W 23-20 | +1 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 9% |
| 7 | vs TEN | W 34-10 | +9.5 | 41 | 7 | 7 | 65 | 0 | 4 | 61 | 22% |
| 8 | @ SEA | W 31-10 | +3 | 45.5 | 10 | 9 | 107 | 0 | 14 | 89 | 31% |
| 9 | vs MIA | W 30-27 | +6.5 | 49 | 7 | 6 | 50 | 0 | -4 | 58 | 19% |
| 10 | @ IND | W 30-20 | +4.5 | 46.5 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 60 | 49 | 26% |
| 11 | vs KC | W 30-21 | +2.5 | 46.5 | 12 | 8 | 70 | 0 | 53 | 53 | 32% |
| 13 | vs SF | W 35-10 | +6.5 | 45 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 49 | 20 | 39% |
| 14 | @ LA | L 42-44 | +3.5 | 49.5 | 8 | 5 | 106 | 1 | 99 | 53 | 22% |
| 15 | @ DET | W 48-42 | -2.5 | 55.5 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 1 | 36 | 33 | 22% |
| 16 | vs NE | W 24-21 | +14 | 48 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 104 | 10 | 22% |
| 17 | vs NYJ | W 40-14 | +10 | 44.5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 24 | 21 | 22% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).