At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
38.1
▲ L5 40.2
Rec/g
2.7
▲ L5 2.8
Tgt/g
3.2
▼ L5 3.0
Rec TD/g
0.22
▼ L5 0.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 39% | 40% | 27% | 57% |
| 49.5 | 22% | 20% | 18% | 29% |
| 59.5 | 17% | 20% | 18% | 14% |
| 69.5 | 17% | 20% | 18% | 14% |
| 79.5 | 17% | 20% | 18% | 14% |
| 89.5 | 17% | 20% | 18% | 14% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 56% | 60% | 45% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 40% | 27% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 20% | 18% | 14% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 20% | 18% | 14% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 22% | 20% | 18% | 29% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 8.5 | 6% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
16%
Air-yards share
13%
Rec EPA/game
7.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
34.5
11 g
Away
43.7
7 g
In wins
39.0
12 g
In losses
36.3
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PIT | W 31-17 | +10 | 39.5 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 10% |
| 20* | vs KC | L 24-27 | +2.5 | 45.5 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 1 | 42 | 34 | 24% |
| 2 | vs LV | W 38-10 | +7.5 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 3% |
| 3 | @ WAS | W 37-3 | +5.5 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3% |
| 4 | vs MIA | W 48-20 | +2.5 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 4% |
| 5 | vs JAX | L 20-25 | +5.5 | 48.5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3% |
| 6 | vs NYG | W 14-9 | +15.5 | 43.5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3% |
| 7 | @ NE | L 25-29 | +7.5 | 41 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 10% |
| 8 | vs TB | W 24-18 | +10 | 43 | 6 | 6 | 92 | 0 | 53 | 39 | 15% |
| 9 | @ CIN | L 18-24 | -1.5 | 51 | 4 | 4 | 57 | 0 | 36 | 21 | 13% |
| 10 | vs DEN | L 22-24 | +7.5 | 47.5 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 8% |
| 11 | vs NYJ | W 32-6 | +8 | 39.5 | 4 | 3 | 115 | 1 | 58 | 70 | 14% |
| 12 | @ PHI | L 34-37 | -2.5 | 49 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 37 | 10 | 10% |
| 14 | @ KC | W 20-17 | -2 | 49.5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | -1 | 13 | 3% |
| 15 | vs DAL | W 31-10 | +2 | 49.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 8% |
| 16 | @ LAC | W 24-22 | +13 | 44.5 | 3 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 18 | 27 | 14% |
| 17 | vs NE | W 27-21 | +15 | 40 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 28 | 11 | 14% |
| 18 | @ MIA | W 21-14 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 6 | 6 | 105 | 0 | 48 | 57 | 16% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).