At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
267.8
▲ L5 322.8
Pass TD/g
1.72
▲ L5 2.20
Comp/g
25.3
▲ L5 26.8
Att/g
37.9
▲ L5 38.8
INT/g
0.78
▲ L5 1.00
Rush yds/g
5.4
▲ L5 7.8
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 83% | 100% | 80% | 88% |
| 224.5 | 72% | 80% | 80% | 63% |
| 249.5 | 61% | 60% | 70% | 50% |
| 274.5 | 39% | 60% | 50% | 25% |
| 299.5 | 17% | 40% | 10% | 25% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 100% | 90% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 60% | 70% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 40% | 30% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 20% | 10% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 89% | 80% | 90% | 88% |
| 19.5 | 83% | 60% | 90% | 75% |
| 21.5 | 72% | 60% | 80% | 63% |
| 23.5 | 61% | 60% | 70% | 50% |
| 25.5 | 44% | 60% | 50% | 38% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 44% | 40% | 30% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 40% | 10% | 38% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
16.6
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
267.4
10 g
Away
268.3
8 g
In wins
276.2
13 g
In losses
245.8
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs NYG | L 24-31 | +2.5 | 48 | 31 | 39 | 273 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 12.2 |
| 1 | vs GB | W 23-7 | +2.5 | 47 | 23 | 32 | 277 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 164 | 9.3 |
| 2 | @ PHI | L 7-24 | -2.5 | 49.5 | 27 | 46 | 221 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 270 | -14.0 |
| 3 | vs DET | W 28-24 | +6.5 | 52 | 24 | 41 | 260 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 334 | -1.4 |
| 4 | @ NO | W 28-25 | +4 | 42 | 25 | 38 | 273 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 278 | -1.5 |
| 5 | vs CHI | W 29-22 | +10 | 44 | 32 | 41 | 296 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 10.9 |
| 6 | @ MIA | W 24-16 | +3 | 45 | 20 | 30 | 175 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 167 | -5.5 |
| 8 | vs ARI | W 34-26 | +4 | 48.5 | 24 | 36 | 232 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 233 | -3.2 |
| 9 | @ WAS | W 20-17 | +3 | 43.5 | 22 | 40 | 265 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 390 | 0.9 |
| 10 | @ BUF | W 33-30 | -6.5 | 47 | 30 | 50 | 357 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 430 | 4.9 |
| 11 | vs DAL | L 3-40 | -1.5 | 48.5 | 12 | 23 | 105 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 191 | -18.3 |
| 12 | vs NE | W 33-26 | +2.5 | 42.5 | 30 | 37 | 299 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 11.6 |
| 13 | vs NYJ | W 27-22 | +3 | 44 | 21 | 35 | 173 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 329 | -1.9 |
| 14 | @ DET | L 23-34 | -2.5 | 51.5 | 31 | 41 | 425 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 456 | 22.6 |
| 15 | vs IND | W 39-36 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 34 | 54 | 460 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 436 | 5.1 |
| 16 | vs NYG | W 27-24 | +4.5 | 48 | 34 | 48 | 299 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 322 | -0.5 |
| 17 | @ GB | L 17-41 | -3 | 47.5 | 18 | 31 | 205 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 262 | -17.2 |
| 18 | @ CHI | W 29-13 | +6.5 | 42.5 | 17 | 20 | 225 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 16.6 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).