At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
39.2
▼ L5 35.0
Rec/g
3.1
▼ L5 2.4
Tgt/g
5.3
▼ L5 4.4
Rec TD/g
0.18
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 53% | 40% | 75% | 33% |
| 49.5 | 24% | 20% | 38% | 11% |
| 59.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 69.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 79.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 65% | 60% | 63% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 38% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 0% | 13% | 11% |
| 5.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 65% | 40% | 63% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 0% | 13% | 22% |
| 8.5 | 12% | 0% | 13% | 11% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
9%
Air-yards share
19%
Rec EPA/game
-3.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
46.6
8 g
Away
32.7
9 g
In wins
45.0
7 g
In losses
35.2
10 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs CAR | W 24-10 | +3.5 | 40.5 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 52 | 7 | 17% |
| 2 | vs GB | W 25-24 | +3 | 40.5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 17% |
| 3 | @ DET | L 6-20 | -3 | 47.5 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 107 | 8 | 24% |
| 4 | @ JAX | L 7-23 | -3.5 | 42.5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 49 | 2 | 13% |
| 5 | vs HOU | W 21-19 | +2.5 | 42 | 11 | 7 | 87 | 0 | 125 | 4 | 29% |
| 6 | vs WAS | L 16-24 | +1.5 | 42 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 1 | 57 | 21 | 14% |
| 7 | @ TB | W 16-13 | -3 | 37.5 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 46 | 22 | 22% |
| 8 | @ TEN | L 23-28 | +2.5 | 35 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 60 | 9 | 15% |
| 9 | vs MIN | L 28-31 | +3.5 | 38.5 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 0 | 54 | 15 | 15% |
| 10 | @ ARI | L 23-25 | +2 | 43.5 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 36 | 12 | 26% |
| 12 | vs NO | W 24-15 | -2 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 23 | -1 | 10% |
| 13 | @ NYJ | W 13-8 | +2 | 33 | 8 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 106 | 1 | 32% |
| 14 | vs TB | L 25-29 | +1.5 | 41.5 | 6 | 3 | 57 | 1 | 80 | 12 | 15% |
| 15 | @ CAR | L 7-9 | +3 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 36 | 12 | 21% |
| 16 | vs IND | W 29-10 | +3 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 49 | 1 | 39 | 3 | 13% |
| 17 | @ CHI | L 17-37 | -3 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 79 | 1 | 16% |
| 18 | @ NO | L 17-48 | -3.5 | 41.5 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 9% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).